Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Dec 17

Hi guys. I don't see much value for today, and I am now a more disciplined better and only play when I feel strongly.

I will include small leans for anyone that wants to follow me on something. These are picks that I give out to paying clients on the phone service I work with.
Wake Forest -5.5
Witichita St -2

I am back

I am back. I was working for a sports handicapping group trying to make some extra money, and I felt that they were taking advantage of me. They had dropping sales since their other handicappers sucked. So I was making less even though I was around 60%. So I finally left them so I can post my picks here. I need to show what I can do and maybe go on my own.

I will post less picks, since I am only going to post picks that I myself bet on. There may be days that there are no picks, so please check back everyday.

I will also post picks later in the day. My friend brought to my attention a website that posts bets made by sharp players, so I can see where the wise money is going. This has helped my handicapping go to the next level. I wish it wasn't so expensive, but it is well worth it.

I am looking forward to college bowl season and NFL playoffs as well as hockey, which is my best sport. This year I am over 70% in hockey.

I always accept donations, since I put in hours of work everyday.

Check back later after 5pm for my picks M-F and 10 AM on weekends.
And I really enjoy hearing from you guys, so please add comments or send me an e-mail at smd163@yahoo.com

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

May 7 2013

MLB 1-1 yesterday
26-26-1
Todays Games
Oak/Clev Over 8.5
Seattle/Pitt Over 8

NHL 1-1 yesterday
Todays game
Mont/Ottowa Under 5


NBA 0-1 yesterday
Todays Game
Boston/Knicks Under 183

BBlog lost $60
Value $1,105

Monday, May 6, 2013

May 6 2013

MLB 3-0 yesterday
Season 25-25-1
Todays games
Oakland/Clev Over 9
San Fran ML

NHL 0-1
91-66-11
Rangers ML
Stl/Kings Under 4.5

NBA 0-1
90-78-1
Todays Game
Heat -12

Blog value $1,165
Good luck

Sunday, May 5, 2013

May 5 2013

MLB 1-0 yesterday
22-25-1
Todays games
Mets/Atl Over 7
Seattle/Tor over 8.5
Reds ML

NHL
91-65-11
Todays game
Mont/Ottowas Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday
90-77-1
Todays game
Okla city -3

Good luck

Saturday, May 4, 2013

May 4 2013

MLB 0-4 yesterday
21-25-1
Todays game
San Fran ML -138

NHL No games
91-65-11

NBA 1-0 yesterday
90-76-1
Todays game
Nets -7

Good luck

Blog value $1,125

Friday, May 3, 2013

May 3 2013

MLB 0-2 yesterday
21-21-1
Todays games
Oakland/Yanks Over 8
Miami/Philly Over 7.5
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5
Det/Houst Over 8

NHL 1-1 yesterday
91-65-11
No games today

NBA 0-1 yesterday
89-76-1
Todays game
Memphis -6

Blog value lost $165, value today $1,275

Thursday, May 2, 2013

May 2 2013

MBL 1-1 yesterday
21-19-1 Season
Todays Games
Whitesox/Rangers Over 8
Cards/Brewers Under 9

NHL 1-0 yesterday
90-64-11
Ottowa/Montreal Under 5
Rangers/Washington Under 5

NBA No games
89-75-1
Todays game
Denver/Golden St Over 211

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

May 1 2013

MLB 2-1 yesterday
21-18-1

Todays games
San Fran/Ariz Under 9

NHL 1-0 yesterday
89-64-11
Todays game
San Jose/Van Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday
89-75-1
No games today

Blog earned $40 to bring balance to $1,440

Good luck

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

April 30 2013

MLB 0-2 yesterday
Season 19-71-1

Todays games
Yanks/Houst Over 8
SD/Cubs Over 10
TB/KC Under 7.5

NHL
Season 88-64-11
Todays Game
Minn/Chicago Under 5

NBA 1-0 yesterday
Season 89-74-1
Todays game
Denver -8

Blog lost $60 yesterday. Balance is $1,400

Monday, April 29, 2013

April 29 2013

MLB 2-1 yesterday
Season 19-15-1

Todays games
Minn/Det Over 8.5
Pitt ML +115


NHL
88-64-11

NBA 0-1 yesterday
88-74-1
Todays Game

Nets -6

Blog lost $6 in juice yesterday. Value now $1,460

Good luck everyone

Sunday, April 28, 2013

April 28 2013

MLB 1-0 yesterday
Season 17-14-1
Todays Games

Rangers ML -130
KC ML -130
Oak/Balt Over 8



NHL
No games
88-64-1

NBA 0-2
88-73-1
Knicks/Boston Under 180.5

Blog lost $55, value now $1,466

Saturday, April 27, 2013

April 27 2013

MLB 1-1 yesterday
Season 16-14-1
Todays Game
Oak/Balt Over 8

NHL
88-64-1
No games

NBA
88-71-1
Todays Game
Nets/Bulls Under 177
Okla/Houst Over 206

Blog Value is $1,521

Good luck




Friday, April 26, 2013

April 26 2013

I've hit a rough spot lately, and I've been here before. The end of the season in the NBA and NHL has killed me. I ran into that last year too. I at least have better stats now, so I can try and avoid that next year. Part of handicapping games is learning. Every year I get a bit better as I learn from these mistakes. This is also a good test for bank roll mgmt. This is why it is important to keep your bets to a small %. I am hurt, but I am still in the game, and I am going to work my way out. Like I've said, I have been here before and got myself out.

All bets will be $50 now.

MLB- 0-1-1 yesterday
15-13-1
Todays game
Yanks -135
Rangers/Twins over 8.5

NHL 0-1 yesterday
88-64-11

No games today

NBA 0-1 yesterday
88-71-1
Taking a pass today

The blog lost $198 bringing the total to $1,526

Good luck everyone

Thursday, April 25, 2013

April 25 2013

MLB 1-0 yesterday
Season 15-12

Todays Games
Mets/Dodgers Over 8
Yanks/Toronto Under 8


NHL 1-0 yesterday
Season 88-63-11
Todays Game
Isle/Philly Over 6

NBA 0-1 yesterday
Todays game
Clippers/Memphis Over 179.5

The blog gained $54 total now $1,724

Good Luck everyone

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

April 24 2013

MLB Game Washed out
14-12
Todays games
Clev/Chicago WS Under 8

NHL 0-1 Yesterday
87-63-11
Todays Game
Detroit -130

NBA 0-1 Yesterday
88-69-1
Todays Game
Lakers +9

The blog lost $136, total now $1,670.
If there is another losing day, the amounts to bet will decrease.
Good luck everyone

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

April 23 2013

Rough day in Baseball, so I hope to bounce back. It is still early in the season, and I expec to bounce back.

MLB 0-3 yesterday for a $198 loss- Ouch
14-12
Todays game
White Sox/Cleveland Under 8

NHL 1-0 yesterday for a $60 profit
Season 87-62-11
Todays game
Isle ML -140

NBA - No games yesterday
88-68-1
Todays Game
Boston +7

The blog lost $138 yesterday dragging the total to $1,806. Lets hope to turn things around and start making money.

Good luck everyone

Monday, April 22, 2013

April 22 2013

MLB 2-1 yesterday for a $54 profit
Season 14-9
Todays Games
Angels/Rangers U 8
Pitt/Phils Over 8
Arizona ML +110

NHL 0-1 yesterday
86-62-11
Todays Game
Det -145 ML

NBA
88-68-1
No games today

The blog lost $6 bringing the total to $1,944

Good luck everyone

Sunday, April 21, 2013

April 21 2013

MLB  2-2 yesterday for a $6 loss
Season 12-8
Todays Games

Oak/TB over 8
Stl/Philly Over 8.5
Det/Angels Over 8

NHL 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $72
Season 86-61-11
Carolina/TB over 6


NBA - Pushed yesterday.
Season 88-68-1
No games today

The blog lost $78 yesterday bringing the total to $1,950.

Good luck everyone

Saturday, April 20, 2013

April 20 2013

MLB 1-1 yesterday
10-6 season
Todays games
Washington/Mets Over 7.5
Atlanta ML -135
Cleveland/Houston Over 8.5
Oak ML +118

NHL 0-1 yesterday
85-59-11
Todays Game
Ottowa ML -120
Boston ML -125
Philly/Carolina Over 5.5

NBA 88-68
Todays Game
Knicks -7

The Blog lost $66 bringing the total to $2,028

Good luck today


Friday, April 19, 2013

April 19 2013

Happy Friday.

Back to back positive days, lets keep it rolling.

MLB-  2-0 yesterday
Season 9-5

Todays games-
KC/Boston Over 8
Clev/Houston Over 8.5
Detroit/Angels Over 8.5

NHL- 1 and 1 yesterday 
Season 85-58-11

Todays Game

Boston ML -135  -Step out play will bet $135 to win $100- 
Buff ML +100

The blog won $114 bringing the total to $2,094

Good luck everyone

Thursday, April 18, 2013

April 18 2013

Hope everyone is doing well. The regular NBA season has come to an end, and the playoffs will start this weekend. One trend I see with playoffs is the zig zag theory. I have used this for 3 years now, and have done well with it. Basically you take the second game of a series and take the team that lost and did not cover. For example, lets say The Knicks are  on the road getting 6 points and lose by 8. The next game Knicks are on the road again only getting 4 pts this time. Then I jump all over the Knicks.

MLB 7-5
No games yesterday
Todays Games
Atlanta/Pitt Over 8
Baltimore ML +112

NHL- 1-0 yesterday for a $60 profit
84-58-11 Season
Todays Games
TB/Mont Over 5.5
Phx/Stl Under 5


NBA 
No games
88-68


Blog is up $60 to $1,980

Good luck everyone

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

April 17 2013

MLB 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
7-5 season

No games today

NHL 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
83-59-11 Season

Todays game
Det/Cal under 5.5

NBA 1-0 yesterday for a $60 win
88-68 for the season
No game today

The blog lost $60 bringing the total to $1,920

Good luck everyone

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

April 16 2013

Hate days like yesterday. Another reason I created the blog is to document how I do or how well I do not do. I find it difficult during the end of the season, and I think thats why there is a drop off for NBA and NHL, so I am going to take a conservative approach for both till the playoffs. I live and die by stats, and I am finding it difficult to tell what teams are going to show up.

MLB
Colorado Mets Game was cancelled yesterday, so we didn't have a game.
7-4 for season

Todays Game
Tampa ml +113


Miami/Houston Race
Both winners yesterday
Miami total $94. Bet $23 Washing -1.5
Houston total $88 Bet $22 Oakland -1.5. Both are around +100 or -105.

NHL 0-2 yesterday for a $132 loss.
83-58-11 Season

Todays Game
Minn/Edm Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday for a $66 loss
87-68 Season
Todays Game
Toronto/Atlanta Over 197

Good luck everyone




Monday, April 15, 2013

April 15 2013

Hope everyone had a good weekend. Kinda blah weekend for the blog, but still going strong. Basketball is on its last legs, and it has been tough to pick winners. Hard to tell who has motivation at this point, so I am going to be conservative till playoffs.

MBL 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $49.
7-4 for the season.

Todays Game
Mets/Rockies Over 10

Houston/Miami race
Miami- Lost- Balance now $76.
Next bet- $20 - Washington  -1.5 -110  $20 to win $18

Houston- Win- Balance now $69
Next bet $17-  Oakland -1.5 +115- $17 to win $19

NHL- 1-0 Yesterday for +$63
83-56-11

Todays Games
Van/Nash under 5
Phoenix ML -110

Aggressive Play- Havent had one in a bit
Balance is now $183
Bet $91 on Montreal ML -200 to win $45


NBA
0-1 yesterday for a loss of $66
Todays Game
Oklahoma City -15.5


The Blog lost $52 yesterday brigning the total to $2,186.

Good Luck everyone

Sunday, April 14, 2013

April 14 2013

MLB 3-0 yesterday for a profit of $198
6-2 for the season
Todays games
Clev +119
Seattle +119
Dodgers +111


Miami Houston race- Both losers yesterday
Miami- Total $101- Bet Phils -1.5 +125 $25 to win $31
Hosuton- Total $55- Bet Angles -1.5 -105 $14

NHL- 1 and 4 yesterday for a loss of $160
Season  82-56-11
One game today
Chicago ML +105

NBA 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
87-66

Todays Game
Cleveland/Philly over 197

The blog lost $22 yesterday bringing the total to $2,238.
Good luck everyone


Saturday, April 13, 2013

April 13 2013

Happy Weekend everyone.

MLB- No games yesterday 3-2 for season
Todays Games

Indians ML +118
Brewers/Cards Over 7.5
Dodgers ML +111

Worst team to make money on contest
I might scrap the Astros as they win again
Marlins $134- Next game $33 on Phils -1.5 (+115) to win $38
Houston  $75- Next game $20 on Angels -1.5 (+115) to win  $23

NHL-  1-0-1 yesterday for  profit of $60.
Season total - 81-52-10
Todays Games
Flyers/Sabres Over 5.5
Van/Colorado Under 5
Tampa +155   <---------Dog of the day $40 to win $62
Boston/Carolina Over 5
Pitt/Fl Over 5.5
Columbus/Minn Under 5

NBA- 1 and 2 yesterday for a $106 loss
87-65 for season
Todays Game
Phx/Minn Over 200.5

Good luck everyone

Friday, April 12, 2013

April 12 2013

Happy Friday everyone.

MLB 1-0 yesterday +66  
4-3 for the season
No Games today


Worst Team to bank on contest
Miami- Phils  -1.5 (+135 ) $25 to win $34
Houston- Angels -1.5  (+1.05)  $25 to win $26


NHL- 3-2-1 yesterday  +$10
Season- 80-52-9
Todays Games
Ottowa/Devils Under 5
Saint Louis/Columbus Under 5

NBA- No games yesterday
Season 86-63
Todays Games

Step Out play-    Bet $100 Washington -5.5

Washing/76ers Over 192.5
Dallas/Denver Over 206


The blog was up $76 bringing the total to $2,306.

Glad that I can help get you to your best day Phil. Its good to hear those feel good stories. I hope to help you continue with your good luck. Feel free to add any comments about my picks. I try to learn from the my picks when I am wrong. For example, I am scratching my head on such a huge scoring day from the FL/Jets game last night.  Both teams had issues scoring, but had no problem last night. The 5.5 line had me concerned, and sometimes the guys in Vegas know more than I do. That time they sure did. If anyone sees something that I might be missing, let me know.

Good luck everyone.

Thursday, April 11, 2013

April 11 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day. Had a bit of a set back as both my side quests failed and I really do believe I made Houston mad. I am going to have a race and start over with Houston and see who is the worst team between them and Miami. Does anybody have any other teams that you think are worse?

MLB Went 1-1 for a $9 gain. 3-3 for the year.
Todays Game
Baltimore +111

NHL Ended our good run going 0-2 for a loss of $90
Lots of games today
Flyers ML -135
Montreal/Buffalo Over 5
SanJose/Detroit Under 5.5
Saint Louis/Minn Under 5
Avs/Kings Under 5

Step Out play Bet $100

Panthers/Jets Under 5.5


Aggressive Play- Hiller lost 3 games all year at home, and I bet on two of them, maybe all three. Still up on these plays, lets hope for a string of winners. Going against those Avs who got me. Lets hope they don't get me again.

Taking Kings ML -260  $75 to win $29.




NBA Went 1-0 Yesterday 86-63 for the season
No game today


The Blog lost $21 yesterday. The running total is $2,230.
Good Luck Everyone

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

April 10 2013

Thanks for all the feedback guys. Having a great run with the NHL. 90% last 3 days and 75% last week.

I think I made the Astros mad last night. I am still going to stick with the plan. The balance is now $75. Next bet is $20 to win $25 take Seattle -1.5 +125

MLB 2-2
Todays games
Mets +115
Oakland +116

NHL 2-0 yesterday 77-49-8 Profit of $120
Todays Games
Boston/Devils Under 5

Dog of the Day pick- Calgary +160  Bet $30 to win $64  2-2 for the dog picks

Agressive Play- Balance is now up to $300
Bet $150 on Ducks ML -212  $150 to win $70

NBA 1-1 yesterday       85-63
Todays Game
New Orleans/Sacramento Over 201.5


The blog is up $114 yesterday brigning the total to $2,251

Good luck everyone

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

April 9 2013

Good Day everyone, hope all is well. I know I haven't had many Baseball games yet. For those who do know me, I live and die by stats. I actually enjoy pulling my data together to help me find value. I get better every year, because I learn new stuff all the time.

NHL Went 1-0 on the only game played.  For a profit of $60
75-49-8

Todays Games
Tampa ML -125
Saint Louis/Nashville Under 5

NBA- No games yesterday  84-62
Todays Games
Indiana -14.5
Memphis -13.5

MLB 2-2
No games yesterday

I do have something interesting that I am going to try. I was listening to a handicapping radio show and someone brought up something that I would like to have a bit of fun with. I will keep track of this on the blog as well.

It is simple, all you do is take any team playing the Astros -1.5. I did this with other teams and made a lot of money. The lines will usually be around +120. The Astros are horrible this year, and will lose 100 games. As long as half of them are by 2 runs, you will win.

Once again this is an aggressive approach, so you start with a small amount. I start with $100. I ill bet 25% of that bankroll.

Today they are playing Seattle and the line is +140. We will bet $25 to win $35.

The blog won $60 bringing the total  to $2,137.

Let me know if you guys like plays like the Houston, which we are going to start and the Hockey one. Is this something you like or are following as well. I am just curious. I find it to be fun for something to do on the side, but I have a spreadsheet for this, so I don't have to add it to the blog.

Let me know and good luck.

Monday, April 8, 2013

April 8 2013

Hoep everyone had a good weekend. Rough day in the NBA. Glad to have a day off. Getting some good early trends in baseball, of course I just found one that would have had me pick the Brewers and they are winning. Figures.

NHL 2-1 yesterday Postive $120
Todays Games
Toronto ML Even

Aggressive Play-  This balance is up to $248. Next bet will be $120 on Boston ML -221 to win about $55.

To anyone knew to the blog, I am taking certain heavy favorites starting with a $100 bankroll, I bet half on every game. The plan is to turn $100 into a grand or two, or more if I am lucky. If I can get a streak of 10 in a row, I can make a lot of money. Once I get to about $800, I will probably pocket $400 and continue knowing that it will be all profit. I've done this many times in baseball and hocky. The shortned hocky season ruined it a bit, but I look forward to use it in baseball. Last year in Baseball, I think I made a couple grand, two years ago I made 5 grand just on the Giants alone. It is aggressive, so I only start with a hundred. Something that I wont mind if it turns out to be a bust, which does and will happen. Hopefully the first one for the blog will be a winner.

NBA- Lost 0-4 day. These days happen, and have happened since I started the blog, and I have bounced back, so I hope for a quick bounceback.
84-62

No NBA games today.

I do like the under for tonights Championship game if anyone is curious.

MLB- 2-2
No games today. I was going to take the Brewers but missed the boat and they are up 5-2.  This trend will not last long and I am upset I missed todays game. Hopefully I can get a couple more winners before Vegas catches up. There will be other trends, so I am not concerned.

The blog lost $120 bringing the total to $2,077.

Good luck everyone

Sunday, April 7, 2013

April 7 2013

There is an early game in hockey that is a step out play, so I am going to post it now and come back later for the rest.
Thanks for being patient. I had to run out, so I didn't get a chance to handicap all the games, so I just looked at any early games. I am back with more picks, and my early NHL pick is looking great, I put that in as early as I could, so I hope you were able to jump on it if you wanted to.

If you would like to reach out to me, my e-mail is smd16307@yahoo.com.

All bets will be $60 now unless noted for the blog.

NHL
Stl/Detr Under 5.5  Bet $100
Tampa/Washington Over 5.5

Dog of the Day- 2-1 so far taking huge dogs.
$30 bet taking Nashville +165  $40 to win $66

Went 2-0 yesterday for $100 profit. 72-48-8

NBA - Went 2-1 yesterday for $45 profit.  84-58 for the season
Todays games
Orlando/Cleveland Over 204
Memphis +5.5
Bulls -5
New Orleans/Phoenix Over 198

MLB 2-2
No games today. Still gathering data.

The blog gained $145 bringing the total to $2,197. I like to bet 3% of the account balance which will bring the bets up to $60.

Good luck everyone






Saturday, April 6, 2013

April 6 2013

Welcome to the weekend. Hope everyone is well.

NHL 3-0 yesterday hitting the step out play as well as another Dog of the Day bet. For a profit of $162
70-48-8
Todays Games
Washington/Florida over 5.5
Phoenix ML -150

Aggressive Play- Balance is up to $190. Next game take Kings -175 $95 to win $55

NBA 0-2 yesterday loss of $110
Det/Minn Over 197
Toronto/Bucks Over 202
Denver +1

MLB- 2-2
No games today.

Blog is up $52 bringing the total to $2,052. For now keep bets at $50
Good luck everyone

Friday, April 5, 2013

April 5 2013

Happy Friday. Hope everyone is having a good day and ready to make some money.

NHL 0-1 yesterday 67-48-8    Loss of $55

Our aggressive heavy fav betting is off to a fast start. This is not for the timid. I got another play for that.
The total is up to $160
Todays Aggressive Bet $80 on San Jose ML -240  to win $33

The other plays of the day
Calgary/SJ Under 5.5

Step out play Pitt -135  <--- Revenge..........   $80 to win $60

and another Dog of the Day bet!!! 1-1 so far, but since it only takes dogs we are up.
Dallas +175  $30 to win $52

NBA 1-0 yesterday 82-55
Todays Games
Boston/ClevOver 202.5
Portland +5


MLB 2-2
No MLB today. Still gathering data, so there will not be a lot of baseball, but I will share when I feel there is a lot of value.

The blog lost $5 as it was split for the day. Lets have a great day and increase the bets!!!!

Good luck everyone

Thursday, April 4, 2013

April 4 2013

You may want to fade me today, because I am going to pat myself on the back here. Today the blog officially doubled the account balance in about 3 months. It may not seem much to turn $1,000 into $2,000, but when you are only betting 3% of your bankroll, it is huge. For me, my personal goal is to make a living doing this. If I had a starting bankroll of $50,000 and I bet 3% like I've been doing, I would have made $50,000 in 3 months. My goal would be to make 6 figures and this seems very possible. Now I am not going to quit my job and move to vegas just yet. I got to do this for a long time to prove to myself that I can do it.

Before I go into the picks, I wanted to talk about an agressive betting strategy I have used in the past. I like it, because you start with a small balance and always bet half of the balance on a heavy favorite. There will be losses here and there, but you can win 15 or 20 times in a row easy, and with this aggressive betting style, you can make some bucks. It is not as bland as my 3% betting strategy, but it works. I have started with $100 and turned that into 3 grand, 1 grand, and once even 5 grand. Last year I was a pig, had the account up to 7 grand, and then lost. It was at 3500 and then I lost again, still walked away witn a grand. Of course I have lost a lot as well, but I am pretty smart about picking the right games. Lets say you think the Lakers are going to win their next 7 games. They wont be huge favorites, but you can use this for the 7 games and make a lot if you are right. Sure there might be a loss mixed in there, but as long as you keep the bets to 50% you should be ok. Just start small just in case your wrong.

I am going to start tracking this for fun. This will not be included into the blog balance.

NHL 1-2 yesterday for a $30 loss.
67-47-8
Todays games
Nashville ML -123

Aggressive test  Bet $50 on Boston ML -193 , after they win balance will be $125, bet half on LA Kings -177.

NBA 2-0  Profit of $100     81-55
Todays game
Chicago +5

MLB 1-1 yesterday  2-2 for year
No games today

Blog gained $67 bring the grand total to $2,005.

Lets keep it going, good luck everyone

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

April 3 2013

Nice day yesterday, lets keep it going. I am going to lower the amt for Baseball. I am not using stats for basseball, so I am going with past history and other trends that may or may not be working this year. I listen to a lot of videos from pro handicappers given their thoughts to help me. So the amt for baseball will be $30 and will probably stay there till around May or when I feel more comfortable with my data.

NHL 2-0 yesterday 66-45-8
Todays games
Rangers ML -110
Calgary ML even

Lets bring back my fav pic, Dog of the Day. Todays dog is Dallas +160. We are 1-0 so far.
We will bet $30 to win $48

NBA 1-0 yesterday 79-55
Todays games
Wash/Toronto Under 195
Phoenix/Clippers Over 199


Baseball  0-1 yesterday 1-1 so far
Todays games
Yanks ML -115-  Since I was betting baseball I was all over the Yanks for winning on opening day and then would double up if I lost. I didn't go with day 1, beacuse I had a feeling they would lose. I love thsi game for them to win.

Atlanta ML -130-  I have no faith with Halladay. Phils don't have much either, and thats why he is starting today. I don't think vegas has faith either since the line is here. If Halladay was the old Halladay, the Phils might even be a small favorite. His speed has lost some steam, and that will not be any good for the Phils.


The blog won $125 yesterday, brigning the running total to $1,938. I was really hoping for a sweep to push the blog over $2,000. Hopefully today we will blow past that mark.

Good luck everyone!

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

April 2 2013

Hope everyone is havign a good day. When I like to handicap Baseball, Statfox has tons of good data. Some say that Baseball is the easiest sport to handicap. What I look at is how teams play at home, compared to the road, and you have to look at pitchers too.  Statfox you can look at how well a team hits a lefty compared to a righty. You can even look at day games compared to nightgames or inside compared to outside. You can even see an umpire report. Some umpires have smaller strike zones, so if you can find that out and if you know your pitchers, you can use that to your knowledge. At this stage, I am collecting data on Baseball. It usually takes till about May before I feel comfortable. I am not sure if I would say Baseball is the easiest, but there is a lot of data out there to help you make a decision.
Other things to consider- 1) Bullpen- God I made so much money last year on the Mets. They had the worst ballpen for the longest time. Keep an eye on this.
2) I always keep an eye on streaks. Certain teams just come together and roll. Last year the Yankies went on a streak and I took them and the over and made a killing.
3) Know your teams- This kind of goes with streaks, but certain teams have slow starts like Boston. Don't jump blindly, especially sicne they won, but if they started the season getting swept by the Yanks this week, I would then probably fade them more.

Hope this helps.

NHL- 64-45-8  Went 1-1-1 yesterday for a loss of $5.
Todays games
Jets/Isle over 5.5
Buff/Pitt Under 5.5

NBA  78-55  went 2-0 yesterday for $100 profit
Todays game
Step out play
Washington -1.5  $75 bet

MLB 1-0 - I wont add the Over on the NY/Bos game since I didnt have it in time +50
Todays game
Oaklnd ML -140


The blog made $145 increasing the balance to $1,813

Good luck everyone

Monday, April 1, 2013

April 1 2013

Happy April Fools Day. Hopefully my picks wont be a prank. Day is opening day for Baseball, and usually I stay home to watch the games, but the wife has a very long honey do list, so I will goto work and just watch the games on ESPN. As for my baseball picks, I find that every year can be differen't so I like to collect some data before I start on the games. That is the downfall of being a stat guy.

I did like the over on the Yanks/Boston game, which is heading that way. I also like the Dodgers to win. The ML is at -150, but defending world champs usually lose when they play the first game on the road. Take that plus playing against a much improved Dodger team and going against Kershaw. Not looking good for SF.

NHL Went 1-0 yesterday 63-44-7
Todays Games
Carolina/Mont Under 5.5
Minn Wild ML -118
Van/San Jose Under 5

NBA Went 1-1 For a $5 loss 76-55
Todays games
Bucks -12
San Antonio/Memphis Under 186

Good luck everyone.

Sunday, March 31, 2013

March 31 2013

Happy Easter and opening night for baseball. Thanks to Nick for sharing some good picks. Nice going 2 for 3.

NHL- 62-44-7  Lost  $55 on Friday
Todays games
Ducks/Columbus Under 5.5


NBA 75-54 Lost $60 on Friday

Toronto/Washington Over 192
Cleveland +6

The Blog lost $115 on Friday, bringing the total to $1,623

Good luck

Friday, March 29, 2013

March 29 2013

NHL- Went 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $75.
62-43-7
Todays game
Devils/Tampa Under 5.5

NBA 2-1 yesterday for a $45 profit
74-52
Todays games

Washington -3
New Orleans +7
Utah/Portland Over 196.5

The blog lost $30 bringing the total down to $1,738.

I wont have any picks tomorrow, will be back Sunday.

Good luck everyone

Thursday, March 28, 2013

March 28 2013

There will be no update on Saturday March 30. I will be on the road, and will not have access to anything to help me give out picks. Anyone can feel free to add comments if they want to throw thier picks out.

NHL Perfect 3-0 yesterday including the first winner of the dog of the day pick.  Profit of $176

61-41-7
Todays games
Rangers/Ottowa Under 5
Columbus/Edm Under 5

Step out plan Stl Blues ML -130   $70 to win 53


NBA 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $60. 72-51

Todays games
Lakers/Bucks Over 209
Sacramento/Phx  Over 206
Dallas -3.5

Made up loss from yesterday with a little extra. Profit of $116 bringing the total to $1,768

Good luck everyone

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

March 27 2013

I hate losing days. It is part of the biz, and as long as I win more than I lose and keep things at 60% it will all be good at the end of the day. The Stl game was a prime example of why I do not like lines with a lot of juice. I took it -1.5, lost, but didn't lose a lot. In the past i would have. These are the things that I have learned.

NHL- Ugly 1-3 day  58-41-7

Todays games
Colorado/Calgary Over 5.5
Calgary ML -110

Last year in hockey I would play the dog of the day pick. I was 58% last year, and I would pick dogs paying a lot and I made a decent amt with this. It takes some time to get the data, but I am ready to roll with this.

Todays dog of the day is Montreal +153-  I will bet $50 to win $76.50

NBA 71-49
No games yesterday and a ton of games today.

Lakers/Minn Under 203
Orlando/Cahrlotte Over 199.5
Washington/Oklahoma City Over 198.5

The blog lost $110 bringing the total to $1,652

Good Luck everyone


Tuesday, March 26, 2013

March 26 2013

I hope my ramblings help you guys out. As you can tell I am passionate about this, and I work very hard at this everyday. My goal would be to quit my job and make my living off of this and playing craps. I am working on figuring out how to make a living from that as well. If anyone has a good strategy, let me know.

NHL Went 1-1, the Ducks let us down again. They were so good at home, and just something changed. So I got to step away from them and see whats up.
57-38-7 for the season

Todays games
Florida/Toronto Under 5.5
Flyers ML -110
Calgary/Chicago over 5.5- Hockey is full of streaks, and both these teams are streaking over.

Step out Play- Stl -1.5.  (1.35) I usually don't take -1.5, but I love this game, but the juice is too much. I will bet $60 to win $81.

NBA- Went 1-0 yesterday. Season 71-49

No games today

The blog is up $35 to bring the running total to $1,762.

Good luck everyone

Monday, March 25, 2013

March 25 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day.
Nick to answer your question bout bankroll mgmt, I personally try to keep my bets around 3-5 % of my total bankroll, so after I take a distribution, I will lower the dollar amount. I know it is not easy to do so, especially when I am winning, but it is important. I tend to see a losing streaks occur after winning streaks, and that can be for many reasons. One, lines catch up- If a certain team is an over team, Vegas will move the line, and eventually that team will go back to the mean. Two- Teams catch up- If there is a dominant team that is covering a lot, teams will eventually figure out how to stop them. The line will also catch up as well.  I hope this helps.

NHL 1-1-1 yesterday 56-37-7
Todays games
Dallas/Minn Over 5
Ducks ML -137  <---- The Ducks are too good to lose again at home, and they win 67% after back to backs anyways.

NBA 2-0 Yesterday 70-49
Todays Game
Utah -7

We got some gains for the blog +$90 bringing the total to $1,727

Good luck everyone.

Sunday, March 24, 2013

March 24 2013

Hope everyone is having a good weekend. Lots of upsets for March Madness. Crazy stuff as usual. Nice to see small schools do well.

NHL- 55-36-6
Had a good day with NHL, but fell short with the NBA. Lets hope to do well with both today.
Washington/Rangers Under 5
Philly/Pitt Under 6
Ducks ML -145

NBA  68-49
Oklahoma City -12
Utah/Dallas Over 201


Blog lost $65, bringing the total to $1,637

Good luck everyone

Saturday, March 23, 2013

March 23 2013

Much better now thats keep it going

NHL 53-36-6
Todays Games

Fl/Devils Under 5
Dallas ML -133

NBA  68-46
Det/Charlotte Over 198.5
Bos/Memph Under 178
Denver -15


Blog is up $153 yesterday bringing the total to $1,702.

Lets keep winning!
Good luck everyone.

Friday, March 22, 2013

March 22, 2013

You ever notice how quiet I get when I lose, <filll curse words here>. Got to suck it up and get back to work.

NHL 52-36-5
Todays Games
Pitt/Isle Over 6
Columbus ML -140  - Step out play $75 to win $53


NBA 66-46
Houston -13
Minn/Phx Over 192.5

The blog lost $130 bringing the total down to $1,549.

Good luck everyone and lets turn this thing around.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

March 21 2013

I hope everyone is doing well with their brackets. I would be surprised to find someone that read my blog that wasn't doing a bracket. Rough couple of days with Basketball, and I hope that that will be short lived.

NHL 51-34-5  No games yesterday
Todays games
Canadiens ML -127
Phoenix ML Even
Dallas/Kings Over 5

NBA 1-3 yesterday  66-45
Still around 60% after a horrible last couple of days. I really like todays game, so I am going to make it a step out play.

Minn/Sacramento Over 212.5  $75 on this

We lost $115 bringing the blog total to $1,679

Good luck everyone

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

March 20 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day, split yesterday losing a little juice.

NHL- 2-1 yesterday  51-34-5
No games today

NBA 0-1 yesterday
Todays games
Orlando +10.5
Bucks +6
Toronto -6.5
Clippers -10

I am sorry, I meant Clippers -10. OKC is a decent bet, they do have good bounce back games after a loss.
The blog lost $5 on the juice, brigning the total to $1,794.00

Good luck everyone

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

March 19 2013

Sorry about the late post, when I am wrong, I take a look at the game to see where I could be wrong. Most of the time, it is just the way the ball bounces. Every now and then I find something, and I found something pretty big today. I am pretty excited about this, because usually my research picks up games that are heavily weighted by 60-70% on a certain side. This one thing I found is up to 88% in divisonal games this year and I checked it with last years stats and it was at 78%. I don't have anything older to check it, but that is pretty rare in my book. So I am pretty excited about it, and it works well with multiple sports as well. Sorry for the bable just wanted to explain why I am late and what I have been researching all day.

NHL went 1-0 with another step out winner.  49-33-5
Todays Games
Ottowa/Isle Over 5
Boston/Jets Under 5.5
Stl Blues ML +109


NBA Went 0-2 for a $110 loss.
Todays game
OKC -9.5

The blog lost $60 bringing the running total down to $1,799.00.

Monday, March 18, 2013

March 18 2013

I really need to stop saying good job to myself. Not a good day, but it's the long term goal that matters, and as long as I have moer great days than days like this, it will be ok. In my own personal account, I took money out, for this reason alone. Don't want to lose all that I worked so hard to gain. I learned this the hard way, where I would take some winnings just to lose it. I am keeping focused and still only betting a small percentage of my account balance.

NHL Went 0-1 for a loss of $50
Todays games
Step out Play Rangers -145 Betting $75 wo win $51

NBA Went 1-2 for a loss of $60
Todays games
Washington -6.5
Nets/Pistons Under 189

The blog lost $110 brigning the total down to $1,859

Lets get it back, good luck everyone

Sunday, March 17, 2013

March 17 2013

I hope everyone that reads this was able to take advantage of a perfect day. 7-0. In my own personal account, I am taking some money out. I have learned that it is important to take funds out when you can. It is a part of bankroll management that is so important.

NHL 5-0 for a profit of $200 48-32-5

Todays Games
Boston ML +123

NBA 2-0 including a step out play for a profit of $90  64-38

Todays games
Miami/Toronto Under 195
Clippers -12.5
Golden State/Houston Over 216.5

The blog is up $290 bringing the total to $1,969. The blog has almost doubled in less than 3 months. The dollar amount will be increased to $50, and if the winners keep coming, tomorrow will be more.

Good luck everyone

Saturday, March 16, 2013

March 16 2013

Another great day, lets keep it going! I got lucky with the step out play as I thought Kobe would not play. As you can see the first quarter was a really low scoring quarter and the pace stepped up thankfully. Sometimes a little luck helps too. I will be back with more picks, there is a 1pm NHL game that I like, so I am going to post that and be back with more picks.

NHL 43-32-5 Went 1-0 yesterday for a $40 profit
Todays game
Washington/Boston Under 5.5
Ottowa Buffalo Over 5
Phx/Columbus Under 5
Islanders ML -117
Kings ML -150

NBA 62-38  Went 3-1 for a profit of $86
Todays Games
Washington -7

Step out play $50
Boston Celtics -15.5

The blog was up $126 bringing the total to $1,679. If today is positive, the bets will increase to $50.

Good luck everyone




Be back  around 3 EST for more picks

Friday, March 15, 2013

March 15 2013

Long week of work, glad it is Friday. Hope everyone had a good week.

Went 2-1 yesterday for a nice day, and hopefully this will continue for the weekend.

NHL 2-1  42-32-5
Todays Game
I usually don't take lines greater than -150, but Philly needs to win, and this is a perfect flip flop where they just got beat up ny NJ. Philly is much better at home, and NJ seems to struggle on the road, so I will take the Flyers.

Philly ML -150

I am also leaning on the under, but I am staying away since the Flyers games lately have been overs, and that concerns me.

NBA 59-37
Todays Games-
Toronto -12
Phx/Atl Over 193
Dallas/Cleveland Over 202.5

Step out play- $50 on this game
Lakers/Pacers Over 189- I learned this from another handicapper, when a star player is out, the team plays better and the games tend to go over. Expectations are that Kobe will not play making this an easy call.


The blog is up $36 bringing the total to $1,553.00


Good luck everyone

Thursday, March 14, 2013

March 14 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day. Had a nice 2-0 bounce back day.

NHL 40-31-5  No games yesterday
Todays Games
Chicago/Columbus Under 5.5
Rangers/Jets Under 5
Phx/Stl Over 5

NBA 59-37 Went 2-0 for $80 gain
No games today.

Blog up $80 bringing the total to $1,517

Good Luck Everyone

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

March 13 2013

Didn't want to see my first new step out play lose, but it did.

NHL went 0-2 40-31-5  Lost $94
No game today

NBA 1-1  57-37
Todays games
Oklahoma City -12.5
Houston -11

The blogs value drops $98 bringing to the total down to $1,437

Good luck everyone

Tuesday, March 12, 2013

March 12 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day. Thanks again Nick with your assistance. Yahoo was back up today, so I hope that continues.

NHL 40-29-5

Todays games
Pitt/Bos Over  5.5 - Hockey is full of streaks, and I am going to stick with the Pitt over .

Step out play Colorado ML -145-   I will bet $50 on this


NBA   56-36
Todays games
Lakers/Magic Over 206
Miami Heat -10

We had no games yesterday, so the blogs total stays at $1,535

Good luck everyone

Monday, March 11, 2013

March 11 2013

Hope everyone had a good weekend. I will be back with picks, but I need some help getting odds. I am limited at work about getting on certain web pages, and I have no cell phone coverage at work. I use yahoo to help me getting odds to assist me to pick games. Nick, since I know you follow me, can you give me the odds for the NBA and NHL. I need spreads and totals and ML for NHL, if its not too much trouble.


Thank you Nick for updating the odds. I hope Yahoo can get their act together, otherwise I have to leave the building to get the lines from 5 dimes. I like to use yahoo, because it shows multiple sportsbooks.

We split yesterday, and I do want to appologize for the Detroit pick. I lost on that too, but I didn't have all the information made avail to me, and I would have stayed away after seeing how Columbus was an under play. I have a lot of data at work, and I just forgot to bring some key data with me home for the weekend.

NHL 40-29-5

There are no games today. I do have a lean on the under for the Calgary/Kings game. It is screaming over and vegas has the line at 5. That scares me. This is also a flip flop game, where the score was 6-2. It is telling me to take the under, but I can't take the under with the Kings being an over machine lately. Their last 5 games have been over. I know Vegas is slow to make lines for hockey. I don't think enough people bet on it to make a difference, but this feels like a trap for the over. So I am torn, and if I am torn, it means stay away.

I want to share my thoughts on this to help you, so I hope that this makes sense.

NBA- 56-36

No games today. I don't want to just play a game to play a game. I am leaning on the over on the Nets/76ers, but just not in love with it.


We lost some juice yesterday bringing the Blog total to $1,535.

I am going to add a new feature to my blog. A friend of mine pays a certain handicapper for his service, and he told me that when his picks are the same as mine, the pick is correct 78% of the time. So I told him to tell me when that is and I will post this pick as a step out play or 5% of the bankroll.

Good luck everyone

Sunday, March 10, 2013

March 10 2013

Hope everyones weekend is going well, and I hope to continue this great winning streak.

NHL 39-28-5
Went 3-0 yesterday for +$126
Todays games
Columus Detroit Over 5.5- They just played and Detroit lost 3-0. This is a perfect play on the flip flop theory. Detroit is at -180, which is too much juice for me, but at first glance the under is the play, but it is screaming over. I keep track of games just like these, and the flip flop occurs 78% of the time, so lets play the over.

Isle/Pitt Over 5.5.  Overall hockey games have been under more than anything. The one exception is divisional games and Pitt. Hockey is full of streaks, and Pitt is streaking over. Isle are also a good over team making this my  second pick for today.

NBA Went 1-0 yesterday +$40  55-35 for the season.
Todays games
Toronto/Cavs Over 202.5
Clippers -14

The Clippers game is just like the Indiana game yesterday. Nick, you asked how I come about certain games. This is one is called the Christmas Theory, which I read online some time ago. It works when you see two teams that are playing each other, and one team is far superior than the other. There is an easy formula where you take the winning % for the better team minus the other winning %  divided by 20 and then subtract 10. This tells you where if everything being even the number should be. What it doesn't show is motivation, the real tell of how a team will perform. So if it is off, that tells me something. In the Clippers game, it tells me the Clippers should be a 6.5 pt fav, 9 pt at home. If the line is off more than 5 points, which it is, and that team does well at home/road compared to the other team, I take it. This theory is like 80%.

So on other words, I take the expertise of the guys at Vegas to help me pick the game.

I am not including college. I haven't had time to handicap these games.

The blog is up $166 bringing the running total to $1,543

Good luck everyone

Saturday, March 9, 2013

March 9 2013

Happy Saturday everyone. I have to run, so I will keep this short today.

NHL- 36-28-5
No games yesterday- I was smart to stay away from the Under yesterday, and I was right on the Avs. I just couldn't bet on either. I did see the line was at -120, which was telling you that a lot of money was on the Avs last night.

Todays game

Det/Columbus Under 5.5
Pitt/Tor Over 6
Minn ML +115

NBA
Went 2-0 yesterday for a profit of $80      54-35 for the year
Todays game Denver -15

The blog is up $80 bringing the running total to $1,377

Good luck everyone


Friday, March 8, 2013

March 8 2013

Sorry about the incorrect date. I hope I didn't throw anybody off. It was just a test to see if anybody noticed. Even though I am excited about baseball, I do not believe that it was the reason why I put in May.
I am having issues getting lines for a lot of games today, so todays card will be a little short.

NHL- Went 1-0-1 yesterday for a $52 profit.
No games today. I was going to go with the under on the Chicago/Avs games, but I feel like thats an under trap that will go over. The Avs play pretty well at home, I wonder if they will win. I don't have the line for this game, but a good  agressive gamble would be on the Avs today.

NBA 52-35
Todays Games
Indiana -9.5
Phx/Sac Over 207.5

College - I have no lines, but I was leaning on the Il Chicago/Green Bay under and St Peter/fairfield Under

We won $52 bringing the total up to $1,297

Good luck everyone

Thursday, March 7, 2013

May 7th 2013

Hope all is well with everyone. Time is a little short today, so I can just going to get to it.

NHL- No games yesterday 35-28-4
Todays Games
Jets +130
Buff/Devils Over 5

NBA Went 1-2 yesterday  52-35
No games Today

College 101-102-2

Lost $48 bringing the total to $1,245

Good luck everyone

Wednesday, March 6, 2013

March 6 2013

Hope everyone is having a good today. I don't have too many followers, but anyone that does, I enjoy hearing from you and hearing what you like or maybe don't like. I am not a professional handicapper yet, but my goal is to be. I want to thank Joe who found me through Golden Touch Craps for sending me an e-mail.

NHL We went 1-2 yesterday, I think it was just one of those days. It is hard to take a road team to win, but the Canadiens were on fire this year on the road. I am 35-28-4 in hockey, and no games jump out at me.
I will share this for anyone who likes to gamble. Since I am serious about this, I do not bet on anything with high odds. If you want to have some fun, take a look at the Chicago game tonight. Chicago ML is -220. Colorado is horrible on the road. The goalie is yet to win on the road and Emery is yet to lose at home.

NHL YTD 35-28-4 Went 1-2 yesterday for a loss of -45

NBA 51-33 Went 2-0 yesterday For a $80 gain
Todays games
Nets -9
Wash -2
Memphis -6.5

College 100-101-2
Navy/Bucknell Over 115
Temple/Fordham Under 147.5

We won $35 bringing the blog to a running total of $1,293

Good luck

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

March 5 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day. Took a bit of a loss, thanks to a worthless goal with 8 seconds left on the Pitt  game. Oh well anyone who has gambled long enough knows that these things happen, and we just hope that they happen more in our favor than they happen against. I think I just remember the ones that effect me negatively.
Time to jump back in and make some money. I am trying to just play a couple of games, but there were like 5 NHL games that I like, so I only will play 3 that match 3 different criteria for me.

NHL 34-26-4  Went 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $34

Tampa/Devils Over 5.5- Pitt went on fire once Garon went out, and Lindback has been just horrible. The same can be said for Hedberg, so I will take the over 5.5

Montreal- ML -116
Jets ML -116

NBA Went 1-0 yesterday for positive $40.  49-33
Todays Games
OKC -8.5
Denver/Sacramento Over 223-  I know this line is large. I know a guy who use to blindly bet anything over 220. This year when Denver is playing back to back on the road, I believe have only gone under one game, and I do expect Sacramento to keep this close.

College 100-101-2  Lost the one game I bet on for -$44
No games today.

The smaller tournaments started today, and I am keeping detailed stats to help me for next year.


I lost $38 brigning the total down to $1,258.

Good luck everyone

Monday, March 4, 2013

March 4 2013

Hope everyone had a good weekend. I was watching some baseball yesterday for the first time, and I was getting pumped about this season coming up. Baseball for me is fun to handicap. I learned so much last season, and I hope to put that into effect this year. There are so many games, and my strength is look at data to determine what game to take. No other sport offers as much data.

A decent day yesterday, and I thought I had the over on the Dallas game after 3 goals were scored in the first period.

NHL 33-24-4  58% 1-0-1 yesterday for a $40 profit
Todays games
Pitt/Tampa Over 6. I think Pitt might scored 6 on their own here.

I don't like to take too many teams -1.5, but I will bet $30 with Pitt -1.5 to win $53
Nash/Kings Under 5

NBA 48-33    59%   Split yesterday for a small loss.
Orlando +9.5

College 0-3 yesterday 100-99-2
I have a game that I will bet on today.
Savannah St/NC AT Under 108

I will not bet, but I like Cinn +10.5


We gained +$36 yesterday to bring the blog to $1,296.


Good luck everyone








Sunday, March 3, 2013

March 3 2013

Hope everyone is having a good weekend. I am trying to be more selective these days as I try to build my bankroll.

NHL Won the only game for +56.  32-24  57%
Todays games
Chicago ML -105
Stl/Dallas over 5

NBA Lost the only game -40     47-32  59%

Wash -5.5
Dallas/Houston over 217

College 100-96-2 
Todays Games
Manhattan/Loyola MD Under 114
Wisconsin -14.5
Depaul +3

We got some extra juice yesterday bringing the running total to +$1,260

Good luck everyone





Saturday, March 2, 2013

March 2 2013

Happy Saturday.

NHL- Lost the one game bringing us to 31-24-3
Game today
Nashville/San Jose Under 5

NBA- Split yesterday 47-31
Todays game
Nets/Bulls Under 177.5

College- Won the only game 99-94-2
Todays game
Gonzaga -26.
Forham/St Joes Under 137
UC Davis/Cal St Fulerton Over 154.5

We lost $44 bringing us to $1,245

Good Luck

Friday, March 1, 2013

Feb 29 2013

Happy Friday everyone. I will no longer pat myself on the back, everytime I do that, I have a bad day. Lets get back to winning.

NHL Went 1-3 yesterday 31-23-3
Todays Game
Edm/Stl Under 5

NBA Won the only game we played. 46-30
Todays games
Toronto/Indiana Under 186.5
Washington +2

College 3-0-1 yesterday in college. 98-94-2
Todays Game
Fairfield/Manhattan Under 114

We lost $43 yesterday to bring us down to $1,289


Good luck everyone

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Feb 28 2013

The last day of Feb and I hope to make this a good one. Lots of games in the NHL which I like today. I had a good month, and I hope to end with a great night. I am 60% for both the NHL and the NBA so far this year. Many moons ago, I was dumb and paid someone for picks, and I wish they were 60% on anything. Its got to be pretty nice to get free picks where the capper is at 60%. Last year in the MLB I was like 62%, so hopefully I can continue making you guys money.

We won $36 dollars yesterday bringing the running total to $1,332

NHL 30-20-3 We split yersterday.
Todays
Toronto +115- I like Toronto, but Reimer is back, and that is a wild card for tonights game. I am still going with them, but I leave that up to you to decide if you want to as well.

Pitt -140 ML
Phx -135 ML
Devils -105  ML

NBA Won last game 45-30
Todays game
Philly/Chicago Under 178.5

College- Starting to look better in college. Went 3-2 yesterday. 95-94-1
Todays games
Detroit/Temple Over 156
Wofford/Charleston Under 116.5
Southeast Missouri/Austin Peavy Over 150
Oregon St +10

Good luck everyone



Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Feb 27 2013

A small positive day, and I will take a positive day any day. I made $32 to bring the total to $1,296.

NHL- Went 2-1 yesterday to bring the total to 29-19-3
Todays Games
Det/Kings Over 5
Ducks ML -130

NBA- Split yersterday 44-30. Clev showed a lot by winning on the road. I was locked in myself, and honestly, if I knew the injury news, I would have stayed away. I am glad it won for anyone that jumped in early like myself.

Todays game
Portland +2.5

College- Went 2-1 yesterday. 92-92-1
Todays games
Virginia Tech/Miami Fl Under 133
Eastern Michigan/ Northern Illinois Under 108
Houston/UTEP Under 136
Georgia/Vandy Under 112
USC +7

Good Luck Everyone


Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Feb 26 2013

A little bit of a down day as we drop $48 to bring our running total to $1,264.
I missed an easy win with the NBA on the over on the Lakers game lst night. I wrote it down as I was going through the numebrs but somehow missed it. By the time I noticed, it was too late. Oh well. Lets jump back into this and make some money.

NHL- Split yesterday down 4 bucks.
Todays games
Carolina ML +113
Boston ML -145
Phoenix/San Jose Over 5

NBA Lost the one game -48
Todays games
Philly/Orlando Over 189.5
Cleveland +6.5

College Went 1-0 yesterday 90-91-1
Todays games
Loyola Chic/Detroit Over 143.5
Wright ST/UIC Under 113.5
Towson +7


Good Luck

Monday, February 25, 2013

Feb 25 2013

Happy Monday everyone. I couldn't continue the perfection, but hopefully I can bounce back. I am going to start updaing my blog later in the day. I like to try and get an understanding on who the goalies will be in the NHL.

NHL- 27-18-3 - Another good day for the NHL as I take 2 out of 3 for a $40 profit
Todays games
Edm/Chicago Under 5.5
Ducks +130

NBA 43-29- Lost two for -$88
Todays game Utah -7

College- 89-91-1
Kansas St -18.5

We lost $48 yesterday to bring our total down to $1,312. Still keeping bets at $40.

Good luck everyone

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Feb 24 2013

I've had a great Feb and I am now over 60% for both NBA and NHL. I hope to have another great day today and lets all make some money.

NHL 25-17-3- Went 1-0 yesterday, 5-1-1 for the week.

Todays games

Van/Det Under 5.5
Carolina ML +107
Columbus/Chicago Under 5.5

NBA 43-27, 1-0 yesterday , 6-1 since the all star break
Todays games

Dallas -3
Philly/Knicks Under 187.5

Collge 89-91-1
There are no games I like today


We won both games yesterday for $60 profit, bringing me to $1,360. I am going to increase all bets to $40.

Good luck to everyone today

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Feb 23 2013

Another great day as I go 3-0 with NBA and NHL. I am over 60% for the year in the NBA and around 58% in the NHL. I went out late last night and had a little too much to drink, so I haven't had a chance to handicap as much as I would like. I haven't even looked at college and the card will be small today. NHL seems tricky today.

NHL 24-17-3
Todays game
Rangers/Mont Under 5

NBA 42-27
Todays game
Indiana/Detroit Under 187.5

College 89-91-1

We won another $90 yesterday. If I have another good day today, we will increase the bets.

Good luck everyone

Friday, February 22, 2013

Feb 22 2013

Another good day and hopefully anyone that reads this blog has been making some money. I think in the NBA I am around 65% for the month of February. I am hoping that I can keep it going. If I expect to do this as a living, I need to be close to 60%. I was 70% once in hockey, so my goal is to try and hit that 70%.

The more data I get, the better I am at a sport, so now I am starting to get enough data on goalies. For example, Anderson has been unstopable, one reason why I picked ottowa and the under last night. Unfortauntely he got hurt and Bishop came in and gave up two quick goals. Ottowa was able to come back and win in a shoot out, so I still won a unit and some juice to hockey. If Bishop was the goalie, I would not have taken that pick.

So there are only 3 games in the NHL, and if the right goalie plays, I think I like a play, but I want to wait till 3pm to see who they announce. So come back after 3pm to see the NHL pick.

NHL 22-17-3 Went 1-0-1 yesterday for a $35 Profit
Todays Game
San Jose/Chicago Under 5.5



NBA 40-27 Won the only game for a $30 Profit
Todays games
Chicago -7
Indiana -9.5


College- 89-90-1
Butler -2

Forgot to add bankroll. I did some quick math and for the blog we are at $1,210.

Good Luck

Thursday, February 21, 2013

Feb 21 2013

Sorry I am so late with my picks today. Still fighting this cold, and now that I am tracking goalies for hockey, I wanted to get a confirm on who was starting. A couple of teams are keeping that a secret from me.

NHL- We didn't have any games yesterday. 21-17-2 for the year
Todays game I like is the Rangers/Ottowa game/ I like the line and the o/u.
I like Under 5 and I like Ottowa which is currently at +116

NBA 39-27
Great 2-0 sweep yesterday.
Todays game
Miami/Chicago Under 186

College- Split again. 89-90-1. I am just tracking my college picks. I just don't have the data I need to make good picks. I think to become a good handicapper, it takes time. This is a learning year from me for college. I think college can be split into 3 parts. The first part of the season, the conference games, and finally tournament play. Tempo and efficiency seems to change with each part, so I have to track each.  It will take a lot of work, but I feel that this can be done. Just not now. So please understand that my college basketball picks are informational only with trends that I still feel like have value, but I do not bet on each one, and I want to be honest.

Good luck today

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Feb 20 2013

My winning hockey streak comes to an end thanks to 2 goals that came in the last 2 minutes. Hopefully we can bounce back from that.

NHL 21-17-2
No games today

NBA 37-27
Miami/Atl Under 197
Nets/Mil Under 197


College 88-89-1
Todays Games
Texas Tech +10
Wis/Northwestern Under 116

I lost both games yesterday for $-66 bringing our total to $1,084

Lets get it back today. Good luck

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Feb 19 2013

On a great hot streak with hockey. I think I have won 7 staright. I hope to keep that going.

NHL 21-16-2
Won last game. I love it when I dont have to swaet, nice 3-0 win for Toronto.
Todays game
Van/Chicago Under 5.5

NBA 37-26
Todays game
Toronto/Washington Over 190.5

College Basketball- Split yesterday 87-88-1
Todays games
Indiana +2
N Iowa/Missouri Under 116.5

Won $30 yesterday for a total of $1,150.

Good luck everyone

Monday, February 18, 2013

Feb 18 2013

Happy Presidents Day. I had a day off from work, but my son is sick, so I was up all last night with him and the doctors today, so I didn't get to working on this till later today. I am sorry Nick, I didn't get your message till it was too late. I would have told you to stay off. Hopefully you played since they won.

NHL- went 1-0 yesterday 20-16-2 for the year

Todays game
Toronto -102 to win.

College basketball- Lost last game as I try to firgure somethings out. I persnonally have not bet on myself on college basketball. I am still posting plays to help me determine when I got a feeling I am back.  Still keeping a record too, but I will let everyone know once I feel confident.

86-87-1
Todays Games
Pitt -10
Rutgers/Villanova Over 130.5

NBA 37-26  Games start tomorrow.

Account value after yesterday $1,120

Good luck everyone

Sunday, February 17, 2013

Feb 17 2013

Having a rough go with college basketball lately. I am back at .500. On the positive side, I won another hockey game. If anyone follows my college basketball picks, I would wait till I get hot again. I am going to try some new trends that I have found.

NHL 19-16-2
Todays game
Rangers ML -150

NBA 37-26
I am not touching the all star game

College 86-86-1
Todays Game
Miami Fl/Clemson Over 120.5

We lost a little juice, but for the year we are still positive $1,090.00

Saturday, February 16, 2013

Feb 16 2013

Nice day yesterday as I went 3-0 for hockey. 4-1 for the day. Thanks for the support while I had a couple day losing streak.

Todays games
NHL 18-16-2

Ottowa/Tor Under 5.5

NBA 37-26
No games

College basketball 84-83-1

Iowa St -18
Fresno St/Wyoming Under 108.5
Texas Am/Vandy Under 111
TX Arlington/Seattle Under 127
Montana -8


Good Luck



Friday, February 15, 2013

Feb 15 2013

I hate to have back to back losing days. Hopefully today will end that streak. Anyone who bets on games knows that bad streaks can follow you along, and if you are not smart with your money management, you could be broke real easily. This is why I stress bankroll mgmt.

NHL- Went 1-2 yesterday . 15-16-2 for the year.
Todays Games
Stl/calgary Over 5.5
San Jose/Chicago Under 5.5
Devils ML -145

NBA
No games Went 0-1 yesterday. 37-26 for the year. 

College 1-3 yesterday 83-82-1
Todays games
Georgetown +4
Niagra/Marist Over 145.5

We lost $116 yesterday, bring us down to $1,004 for the year.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Feb 14 2013

Had a dud of a day with college basketball. Some of my favorite trends that were 60-70% so far went 0-3. Even CS Fullerton didn't come through for me, and they were like an ATM for me. For that reason, I only bet $50 and not more than 5% of my bankroll.  On a positive note, I am now 50% for hockey, and I hope to keep that trend going.

NHL 14-14-2  Won the only game +$30
Todays Games
Mont/Florida Over 5
Toronto ML +130
PHX/Nashville Under 5

NBA 37-25  No games yesterday
Todays game
Clippers/Lakers Under 199

College Went 1-4 yesterday for a loss of -$122
Todays games

West Illinois/ North Dakota State Under 101
Oakland/South Dakota Over 159  <---- Step out play $50
Hawaii/UC Davis Over 153.5
Cal St Northridge/Pacific Over 141
Gonzaga/St Marys Over 142

We lost $92 for a running total of Plus $120, $1,120.

Good luck today



Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Feb 13 2013

Great day yesterday, and I hope to continue with the winning. NBA is nearing the All Star Break, and the fact that I am about 60% in the NBA this year is huge. You have to be conservative around this time of the year, and I did get a comment asking how I am doing so well where most handicappers have issues. I can't be certain, but I believe that motivation is hard to predict this time of the year, and I noticed a lot of handicappers use that as a major tool in determining value. I do keep an eye on motivation, but my shortfall does come with having the time to research why one team might have motivation over another. I don't get to watch Sportscenter every night, I work full time and have two young children that I have to give my time to as well. I wake up early to put my stats together and then use my lunch time to research and get lines. I am a stat guy. I love stats and I play with my excel spreadsheets to find value. I see trends like a home dog with more than 2 days rest playing against a road fav with 1 day or bb, covers 65% of the time.  I then take that info with other stats that show teams that cover well as a dog or whatever. Eventually Vegas catches on these as well and the lines start moving. Once I see that the trend is over, I stop, and look for some new values. I always find some value or trend. I keep data on almost everygame. I missed a week in the NBA, but have every game for hockey. College is tough, because there are just too many games. Next year I plan to keep stats on a couple of areas so I can have good detailed info. I know that this is kind of winded, but this is what I do. My ultimate goal is to do this professionally, where I will have all the time I need. Might take a couple more years. I really try to help others who want help, so anyone can always feel free to ask me anything.

Lets get to Games!!!!!

Oh and yes I have a step out play today. My favorite Cal St Fullerton.

NHL Went 2-0-1 yesterday. 13-14-2 for the year.  +$60
Only 3 games today, only game I like is Stl/Det Over 5.5. Elliot has been horrible in goal and every game seems to go over. Actually Jake Allen is in goal. I still like the over. Maybe not as much as I did before, but we will stick with it.

NBA- Won the only game. 37-25 +$30
I don't have any games today. Nothing is sticking out today, and I just dont want to bet a game to bet a game. Got lots of leans, but nothing that I want to risk $ on.

College- 2-1 yesterday 81-75-1  +$27
Todays games
Miami FL -6.5
Forham/Xavier Under 135.5
Air Force +3
NC/Duke Over 153

Step Out Play!!!!!! I will bet $50 on this game instead of $30
Cal St Fullerton/Long Beach St Over 159


Yesterday we made $117 for a new total of $1,212.  I still will keep bets at $30 or around 3%. Once I am up to $1,300 I will start to push it up to $40.

Good luck everyone!!!




Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Feb 12 2013

Good day yesterday as I close in on 60% for the NBA this year.  I hope to continue with winning.

Hockey- 11-14-2  Went 0-1-1 yesterday  $-33
Todays Games
Mont/TB Over 5.5
Dallas/Edm Under 5
Minn/Van Under 5

NBA Perfect 3-0 yesterday for +90 
36-25
Todays game
Utah +5.5

College Basketball 79-74-1
No games yesterday

Today
Manhattan/Fairfield Under 111.5
Alabama/Georgia Under 112.5
Villanova +7

Total won yesterday $57
Running total $1,095

Good luck everyone

Monday, February 11, 2013

Feb 11 2013

Hope everyone is doing well. I split yesterday and lost money on the juice. I am going to be conservative with college to see if things have changed with certain trends.

NHL 11-13-1
Todays games
Flyers/Toronto Under 5.5
Kings/Stl Over 5

I like San Jose to win, but the line is -170.  A tad too much for me, and hard to take them -1.5 on the road.

NBA
33-25
Todays games
Charlotte/Boston Under 192
New Orleans +5
Washington +4.5

College
79-74-1
Todays game
Manhattan/Fairfield Under 111.5

Our total bank accoutn after the loss is $1,038. We are still in the green, but not where I would like to be.

Good luck everyone

Sunday, February 10, 2013

Feb 10 2013

A small loss yesterday, I hope that we can turn things around quickly here. I have noticed that the lines in college basketball have moved a bit, so I am going to keep a close eye as overs have been bringing things back to the mean. It doesn't help that Penn St plays like they are down by 3 when they are down by 15 and keep fouling. That is a lesson learned. I have to be more aware of coaches who make their players play hard the whole time.

NHL- 2-0 sweep yesterday, I hope to be back at .500 soon and then never look back.

Todays Games
Devils/Pitt Over 5
Chicago/Nash Under 5

NBA 32-25
Oklahoma City/Phx Under 204.5

College Basketball  79-73-1
Canisius/Niagra Over 150.5

Good Luck

Saturday, February 9, 2013

Feb 9 2013

The weekend is here, and for any handicapper that makes a busy day trying to handicap college basketball. I actually was up to 1 AM getting stuff ready and woke up early to finish, and now I get to shovel .

We had a postive day yesterday sweeping NBA and taking the loss in hockey. The total value as of today of the account is $1,083.

NHL 8-12-1
Still early for hockey, but I would be shocked if I was not over 50% by the end of the month.
Todays games
Over 5 Ducks/Stl
Under 5  Nashville/Minn

NBA 32-24
Todays Game
Over 209.5 Golden State/Dallas

College 78-70-1
Todays games
Under 145 East Carolina/UCF
Under 118 Penn St/Nebraska
Over 165 Nebraska Omaha/Iupui
Under 137 North Dakota/Montana

Good Luck




Friday, February 8, 2013

Feb 8 2013

Small card today. Split yesterday, and I was shocked the Devils game went over. I thought I had it, but in hockey goals can come very quickly. As I get more data, the better I will be when it comes to hockey, so I am not worried.

Todays games

NHL 8-11-1

Todays Game
Ducks/Dallas over 5

NBA 30-24
Todays Games
New Orleans +4.5
Phoenix/Oklahoma Over 205.5

College 78-70-1
No games today. I am going to try to be more selective during the weekend, I understand giving out 10 games makes it difficult to bet.

I am going to start keeping dollar amounts to see how well I would do if I was trying to do this as my full time job. I will start with $1,000 and only bet 3% of my over all balance. As my bankroll increases so will my bet amounts. I will use -110 for the juice unless I note differently. I personally use 5dimes a lot, which has the lowest juice.

So we will start with betting $30 a game. For the step out games, they would be $50 or 5%.

NHL- At a loss of -123
NBA +108
College Basketball-  +70

These are only rough numbers to start off with. I know it is not the most accurate, but going forward will be more accurate.

Total +$55 

Thursday, February 7, 2013

Feb 7 2013

Sorry about the delay, busy morning, so I haven't had a chance to fully research games.

NHL 8-10
Todays Games
Tampa/Devils Under 5.5
Vancouver/Minn Under 5

NBA 30-24
No games today

College 77-70-1
Todays Game

Marist/Iona Over 154

Good Luck

Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Feb 6 2013

Had one of those days yesterday. I hope that these are far and few between. They do happen, but we just brush off and cont on. Hockey is still early on, so I am not concerned. There aren't enough games at home or on the road to start looking at trends.

NHL 8-10
No games today.

NBA
29-22
Phoenix +6-
Knicks/Washington Over 191.5

I forgot to add Tor -3

College
Tulsa -3
Bowling Green/Northern Ill Under 114

Good Luck

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Feb 5 2013

A small card yesterday but we went 2-0, and I hope to keep that going.

NHL- 8-8
Won yesterday, and I hope to get us over .500 and stay there.
Todays games
Panthers/Jets Over 5.5
Chicago/San Jose Under 5.5

NBA 29-21 No game yesterday
Todays Game
Atlanta/Indiana Under 183

College 1-0 yesterday 75-68-1
Todays Games
Boston College/Miami Fl Under 130
Wake Forest +12

Good luck everyone

Monday, February 4, 2013

Feb 4 2013

Does anyone else have Superbowl hangover?  I can't recall the last time I didn't do well in the Superbowl. I know I had a good streak going, but can't win every year. I had a pretty bad year in the NFL, and I feel that is the one sport that I know the most. I have six years of data from the NFL, and this year was different from the past 5 in lots of ways. I have a lot of time to analyze the data and see where I was off for next year. If I want to do this professionally, I need to do better with the NFL.

When one is off on the Superbowl, the props usually follow. Only went 2-4 on the props, and I am kicking myself for not taking the over on the National Anthem.

I am looking for a better NFL next year. If I do not have this blog up, here is one probably lock for the first game in pre-season. Look for the Eagles to win their first pre-season game. Depending on who they are playing and the line, a first year caoch in the NFL will take this game seriously. New head coaches usually play the first pre-season tough, and you love to see them play a tenured team who just doesnt care. (except Mike Shanahan, that guy loves to win no matter what type of game)

NHL- Won the only game we played. 7-8.
Todays Game
Ducks -105

NBA
29-21
No game today

College
Lost the one game we played. 74-68-1
Todays game
Nothern Arizona/Sac St Under140.5

Good luck!!!

Sunday, February 3, 2013

Feb 3 2013

Happy Superbowl Sunday. I am pretty sure anyone reading this will be watching the big game tonight. I am pretty sure it will be a good game.

NFL- 3-4 for this blog.
I have under 48 locked in. I still like it under 47.5 or 47. I do have a lean towards San Fran -3.5. I actually have a parlay on that, but for not too much.

Here are the props for the Superbowl. The sportsbook you use may not have the same props, but if you use multiple sportsbook, you will find them.

I really like any props for no score in the first 7 mins. Or if you can find an under first quarter. I would even sprinkle a little bit for no score in the first 10 mins. The odds are like +250 or greater on that.

Torey Smith under 3.5 catches -110
LeMichael James over 28.5 yards -125
Bernard Pierce Over 7 rushing attempts -145
First score not a TD +130
No score first 7 mins +117
first 10 mins- +300
For those daring First 14- +780
Kaepernick Rushing yds under 43.5 +140







NHL-  We split the card yesterday,we are now 6-8 for the blog.

Pitt -125

NBA Perfect 2-0 yesterday 29-21 for the year
No games today

College went 4-5 yesterday, a couple close games. 74-67-1 for the blog

Todays Game
Virginia/Georgia Tech under 112


Good Luck

Saturday, February 2, 2013

Feb 2 2013

Big day today. Lots of games on this Saturday before the Superbowl. There could be some good value with a lot of people having money locked up in the Superbowl.  We had a split day yesterday, which ends our winning streak, but hopefully that will change today.

NFL- I will be back to post all the props. I have placed some already on this blog. I am not sure if I will take anymore. These are my thoughts on the Superbowl. I like the Under, and I like San Fran. I actually just took them -3, but not too much. The last time these teams played it was very low scoring, now I dont expect that low of a game, but I think the scoring will come in the 2nd half. So some good props are unders for 1st quarter etc. I think Pierce and James will see more touches. They are more explosive, so over props on them. I like the under completions for Flacco, but if SF has a huge lead, all Balt may do is pass. SF has physical dbs, so I think Boldin will do well, but Smith might have a tough time getting off of the line.

NHL 4-6- A tough day in hockey. It is early in the season, and I am not worried. I always have a slow start in hockey.

Todays games
Edmonton +110
Rangers +110
Detroit -110
Dallas/Phx Under 5  - I liked the last game and it went over. So now I really like the under as teams will review tapes to see what they could have done better.


NBA- A split day yesterday.  27-21 for the year.

Todays Games
Chicago +7
Golden St -8.5

College 70-62-1
We won the only game we played.
Todays games

Virginia Tech/NC Over 159
Old Dominion/Georgia St Under 132
Houston/SMU Under 140
Alabama/Vandy Under 113
TCU/Texas Under 111
San Jose/Idaho Under 128
Hawaii/CS Fullerton Over 167
Oakland/Nebraska Omaha Over 169.5
S Dakota/N Dakota ST Under 134

Good luck today







Friday, February 1, 2013

Feb 1 2013

Another positive day, and I hope that I can continue with the winning. 2-0 with my step out plays.

NFL 3-4
On Sunday I will post all the props.
Another prop I am taking is Torey Smith Under 3.5 catches.
A fun prop I took was that the MVP would thank God first. A friend of mine told me that if Baltimire wins, the MVP most likely would be Ray Lewis and he would definetly say that first and Kaepernick would do as well. The odds for that is +250. Not a bad bet to make.

NHL 3-4
Todays games
Phoenix/Dallas Under 5
Ottowa to win +113
Jets/Tampa Over 6

NBA 26-20
76ers/Kings Over 196.5
Dallas +3.5

College Basketball- 69-62-1    Went 3-1 including another step out play
Todays game
Brown/Dartmouth Under 121.5

Good luck

Thursday, January 31, 2013

Jan 31 2013

I wanted to quickly post another sstep out today. I will be back with the other picks later.


Cal St Northridge/cal St fulelrton Over 167.5!!!!!!!!!

NFL 3-4
LeMichael James over 28.5 Yds rushing

On Sunday I will post all my props for the Superbowl. Look at previous day for other prop.

NHL 3-4
No games today

NBA
26-20

No games today

College
66-61-1

Todays games

Cal St Northride/CS Fullerton Over 167.5 --Step out play
Iona/Niagra Over 164
East Kentucky/Tenn-Martin Under 139
Denver/UTSA Under 120


Good Luck!!!




Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Jan 30 2013

Another positive day for me, and I hope to keep that going.

NFL 3-4. Locked in Under 48.
I have one prop so far, I will have more later.
Bernard Pierce Over 7 rushing attempts-

NHL- Split yesterday,  3-3
Todays Game
Phoenix to win

NBA
Perfect 2-0 yesterday. Now 24-19

Todays games
Atlanta/Toronto Over 197.5
Clippers -4.5
New Orleans +7.5

College 63-59-1
Todays games
Villanova/Notre Dame Under 136
Saint Joes/Forham Under 142
Kent St -7
Boise St Colorado St Under 140
Miami Fl/Virginia Tech Under 135.5

Good Luck Everyone







Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Jan 29 2013

Happy Tuesday. A small day yesterday, and I prefer to win the only game I play, but I cannot win them all. If anyone ever wants to know my opinion on a game, let me know. I would be more than happy to let you know my thoughts. I never want to offend anyone, I am not a pro at this, but I have a lot of knowledge that I am willing to share.

Lets get to the games.

NFL 3-4  Superbowl coming up, and I will have some more bewts coming up.

NHL 2-2
Todays Games
Ottawa to win (-140)
Rangers/Flyers Over 5.5

NBA 22-19
Golden St -1
New Orleans +7.5

College 63-58-1
Georgia Tech/Clemson Under 113

Good Luck

Monday, January 28, 2013

Jan 28 2013

Hope everyone had a good weekend. I had a profitable one, even though I made a bad call  with Rutgers. I got to stick with what I know best and that is totals. I liked the under on the Rutgers game, but didnt take both. Live and learn. I didn't bet the Pro Bowl but the over covered thanks to the AFC. I did watch a little bit, and saw some actual defense being played at times. I will make a mental note on that for next year.

NFL 3-4  I am locked in under 48. The line has been steady at 47.5. A lot of public money will come in, and I imagine the line will move. I am also going to take a good long look at props. I like to pick one or two just to make the game more fun for myself. I was once was in vegas when they released the prop betting and there were huge lines. A lot of people make a lot of money at those, so it is a good idea to check them out, and I am not talking about heads and tails.

NHL- 2-2- I don't play many games, because there just aren't enough stats. I thought I saw two teams going in differen't directions and I was wrong. Philly does have a lot of injuries, and maybe this just will be a bad year for them.

No games today

NBA
The only win came with the NBA bringing us to 22-18

Todays game Orlando +9.5

Collge Basketball
63-58-1
No games today

Good luck

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Jan 27 2013

Another positive day for me as I have been on fire in college basketball. Here are todays games.

NFL 3-4  I am not going to bet the pro bowl, because I wont bother watching it. If I did I would bet the over.

NHL 2-1
I like the Flyers +120 today. The Flyers usually have slow starts and yesterdays game was big and Tampa is slumping. Vegas has the line at 6, so they are assuming Phl will be scoring a lot, and if that is the case, they should win.

NBA 21-18
Been slumping in the NBA, so I am going to do some major research on trends to take advantage of to get us back on track.

Clippers -7.5

College 63-57-1
I dont like a lot of games today,  Rutgers has been great on the road, so I will take them +8.5

Rutgers +8.5

Good luck everyone

Saturday, January 26, 2013

Jan 26 2013

Happy Saturday. Another good day that we should have went 3-0, but Boston lost gas. I was hoping for a game winner at the end so I could cover, but alas it took double overtime and I lost. I am looking forward to a good weekend.

NFl 3-4-
Under 48

I am not sure if I am going to bet the pro bowl, but if I would, it would be the over. There is no D in these games and the last couple of years have been at 90 and 100 points.

NHL 2-1
Won a great flip flop game that easily got the under.
No games today, still early and not enough games yet to build on.

NBA
Split 1-1 yesterday 21-16 so far.
Todays games
Knicks -3.5
San Antonio -9

College Basketball
59-56-1

Todays games
N Ill/Eastern Mich Under 107.5
Saint Louis/St Bon Under 132.5
UIC/Wright St Under 114
Gonzaga -19.5
NC ST -5

Good Luck


Friday, January 25, 2013

Jan 25 2013

Going strong with college.  I hope Nick and others were able to take advantage of my step out play. I know college totals can be hard to find in basketball. I find that if there is an opportunity it is usually in totals. I have made that my niche.

NFL 3-4  Next bet Superbowl Under 48

NHL 1-1
Todays Game Buffalo/Carolina Under 5.5

College Basketball
59-56-1

No games today.

NBA
20-15

Todays games
Boston +5
Dallas/San Antonio Over 206

Good luck

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Jan 24 2013

Looking to keep rolling forward here. Back over .500 in college basketball and I have a game I love today. I haven't really stepped out on here, but when I have a play like this, I will let you know. I don't go too crazy with these step outs, nothing is ever 100%, but I will bet two or three times on this game.

NFl- 3-4 Superbowl under 48.. I am not sure if I will place a bet on the probowl. Hard to predict a game where nobody really takes it seriously. In the past I have made a killing on the over, but haven't seen the line out yet. I imagine it will be 70 or 80.

NHL- 1-1- Won with the Rangers, I was thinking about the over too. That would have made a nice parlay. No game today, still not enough data. I am watching the under on Philly/Rangers game as well on the Phx/San Jose. Still too early to know if it is a trend.

College B-ball- 56-55-1. Another large slate with one game I love.
Tenn St/Eastern Kentucky Under 134.5
IUPUI/Oakland Over 154.5
Nebraska Omaha/South Dakota Over 172

Step Out Play!!!!!!
Cal St Fullerton/ UC Davis Over 162.5

NBA 20-14
Clippers -7

Good Luck!!!

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Jan 23 2013

We've been turning things around with college basketball, so I hope I can keep that going.

NFL 3-4
Under 48 Superbowl pick

NHL 0-1
Todays Pick
NY Rangers to win

College Basketball
52-52-1
east Mich/ West Mich Under 111.5
Fl/Georgia Under 120
S ILL/ N Iowa Under  131.5
Wash St/Oregon Under 131
Wash/Org St Under 145.5
Washington to win

Forgot to add Denver +1

NBA
Denver/Houston Over 216.5

Good Luck

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Jan 22 2013

Sorry for the late blog today. I am a little under the weather.

NFL- 3-4, we have under 48 for Superbowl. The line is dropping, so I hope if anyone follows they took advantage.

NHL 0-1. Still early in the season, the more games I get to see stats on, the better I do.

College Basketball- Went perfect in college,  We are now 51-52-1.
Todays Game
SC +13.5

NBA
Missed it by 1 pt.20-13 for the year
Todays Game
Clippers -1

Good Luck

Monday, January 21, 2013

Jan 21 2013

What a big day in football. Who would think Balt would go into New England and destroy them like they did. I figured it would be close, but nothing like this. That leads me into one final bet in the NFL which I think is a lock. There are so many reasons why I love this line, but remember never bet too much. If I had a star system, this would be the most stars and I think you want to jump on it early. I've already seen the line drop 1/2 point.

NFL Superbowl bet
Take the Under 48.

Reasons
1) Most Superbowls goes under. Public loves over, who wants to bet on a game that they are going to watch hoping for punts.
2) Two coaches who know each other. This will be played tight.
3) The last time they met was on Thanksgiving, and I recall making a huge bet on the under and winning big. These coaches are defensive minded coaches.

This is my big Superbowl bet. I do lean on SF as a side, but as we all have seen, heart can outbeat talent.

NFL- We won both our NFL games bring us to 3-4 with this blog. I hope that this final superbowl bet will bring us to even as a record.

NHl 0-1
No game today. The season is young, and I am a stat guy. Not much stats there, but I am logging in everything to see how teams do with little rest.

College Basketball- Went 0-1 yesterday. I actually thought we had it, but for a big blow out, the scoring did not let up. We are 49-52-1.

Todays games
Bethune/Savanah St Under 115.5
Georgetown/Notre Dame Under 121.5

NBA
Split yesterday. 20-12 for the year. Still 62% for the blog

Todays Games
San Antonio -6

Good luck





Sunday, January 20, 2013

Jan 20 2013

A big day for football. I saw the line dropped from 10.5 to 7.5 for the Balt/NE game. Money has been flooding in for Balt, which I expected. I originally had 9. I think the game will be close, but I dont see Balt winning here. If you didn't get Balt plus 9 or greater, I would tease NE to -1 and I would probably take Atlanta +10.

NFL
1-4
Today we have Balt +9 and San Fran -3.5

NHL
0-1. No game today.

College Basketball
Went 6-3 yesterday. I am looking to keep the winning going. Total 49-51-1

Todays games
Drake/N Iowa Under 137.5

NBA
Split yeesterday 19-11 total

Todays games
Dallas/Orlando over 201
Boston -2

Good luck everyone

Saturday, January 19, 2013

Jan 19 2013

Big Saturday, lots of games and the start of Hockey.

NFL 1-4
This Sunday I have Balt +9 and San Fran -3.5

NHL
I am only going with 1 game. I think teams will be rusty, which will help unders.
Detroit/Stl  Under 5


College Basketball
Split yesterday. 43-48-1
Todays games

Northeastern/Dele Over 141
Clev St/Wis Greenbay Under 128
Denver -8.5
Yale/Brown Under 121
Rhode Island/Saint Louis Under 120
Idaho +2.5
San Jose St/New Mexico St Over 128
Long Beach st/CS Fullerton Over 161.5
S Dakota/Oakland Over 157

NBA
Won only game 18-10
Todays Games
San Antonio/Atlanta Over 197.5
Golden State +5

Good Luck






Friday, January 18, 2013

Jan 18 2013

Ugly day in college, and I am trying to figure this out. Two years ago I ran into the same issue when conference games came into play. Last year I had no issues, but I will figure this out. I will be more conservative till I do. It doesn't help my cause when I accidentally type an over when I meant under. Oh well. Hockey starts this weekend. I will start slow, because I want to get a good feel of the teams, plus this year will not be like years past.

NFl 1-4
Balt +9
SF -3.5

College
Ugh we are now 42-47-1.

Todays games
Stoneybrook/Vermont Under 115.5
Iona -5.5

NBA

Test is 0-2 for -110.
Todays test Boston/Chicago Under 181.5 $55 to win $50


Sorry, I do have one play for today.

Atl/Brooklyn Under 192. -   The last time these two teams played the game went over and I think that this line is pretty high. Since they just played they will be ready for each other, and I expect a lower scoring game.
Good Luck everyone

Thursday, January 17, 2013

Jan 17 2013

Been a bit of a slide this week.  I am not worried, been here before and this is why these things can be a grind.

NFL 1-4
This weeks games.
Baltimore +9
San Fran -3.5 

College Basketball
Went 2-3 We are 42-42-1 now
Todays games
Duquesne/Mass Over 154.5
Seattle/Texas Arlington Over 132
Oregon State/UCLA Over 153
Weber St -16.5
UC Davis/Cal St Northridge Over 155

NBA
Only 4 games today, so there will be no test. So far the test is 0-2 -110

I have only one play, which is the Bucks +1

Good luck


Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Jan 16 2013

Sorry it took me so long to post today. I've been looking at lots of data from college basketball today and there are a lot of games.

We lost the first game of our test, which I expected to since I actually like the over. I think I like the over on todays too.I am going to check the lines to see if anything has changed.

Todays game Chicago/Toronto Under 183.5 $55 to win $50
Total balance $945

NFL- Games will update on Friday. 1-4

College Basketball-
Indiana let us down. We are now 40-39-1

Today's games
Houston/E Carolina Over 152
Oklahoma -17
Kansas St/TCU Under 111
Purdue/Nebraska Under 116
San Diego St -4


NBA
Split for the day.
Total 16-10

Todays games
Toronto +3.5
Nets +4
New Orleans/Boston Over 183.5
Miami -2.5

Good luck everyone






Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Jan 15 2013

I want to test out a theory about NBA basketball. The theory states that you would bet the under on the lowest total line in the NBA. Just a blind theory that seems to be work around 57% of the time. So just to have fun, I will test this out. We will start with $1,000 and bet only 5%. Our bets will increase as our balance increases, and we'll see what we will make by the end of the season.

NBA Test- Today take the under NO/Philly Under 183.5 $55 to win $50

NFL
1-4

College Basketball
40-38-1
Take Indiana -10.5

NBA
Split yesterday, total is 15-9
Todays games
Charlotte +8
NO/Philly Over 183.5   <--------- I know this goes against the test, but NO is a great over team on the road and Philly is almost 80% over at home. Add in non-conference games with 1 day rest are 54% over.

Good Luck everyone

Monday, January 14, 2013

Jan 14 2013

Small card today . Not too much going on. No college basketball plays. There is one game I like, but I only see a slight edge, so I am going to stay away.

NFL 1-4- Rough weekend. Denver let me down. I should have played the over in New England, New England has been an over machine at home. Oh well, we got another week of playoffs.

College basketball- Split 1-1 yesterday.
Running total 40-38-1

NBA
Lost the only game. Thought I had that one. Indiana only scored 11 points in the 4th, not cool.
Running total 15-9

Todays games
Minnesota +6.5
Phx/okc under 200

Good luck