March 10 2013

Hope everyones weekend is going well, and I hope to continue this great winning streak.

NHL 39-28-5
Went 3-0 yesterday for +$126
Todays games
Columus Detroit Over 5.5- They just played and Detroit lost 3-0. This is a perfect play on the flip flop theory. Detroit is at -180, which is too much juice for me, but at first glance the under is the play, but it is screaming over. I keep track of games just like these, and the flip flop occurs 78% of the time, so lets play the over.

Isle/Pitt Over 5.5.  Overall hockey games have been under more than anything. The one exception is divisional games and Pitt. Hockey is full of streaks, and Pitt is streaking over. Isle are also a good over team making this my  second pick for today.

NBA Went 1-0 yesterday +$40  55-35 for the season.
Todays games
Toronto/Cavs Over 202.5
Clippers -14

The Clippers game is just like the Indiana game yesterday. Nick, you asked how I come about certain games. This is one is called the Christmas Theory, which I read online some time ago. It works when you see two teams that are playing each other, and one team is far superior than the other. There is an easy formula where you take the winning % for the better team minus the other winning %  divided by 20 and then subtract 10. This tells you where if everything being even the number should be. What it doesn't show is motivation, the real tell of how a team will perform. So if it is off, that tells me something. In the Clippers game, it tells me the Clippers should be a 6.5 pt fav, 9 pt at home. If the line is off more than 5 points, which it is, and that team does well at home/road compared to the other team, I take it. This theory is like 80%.

So on other words, I take the expertise of the guys at Vegas to help me pick the game.

I am not including college. I haven't had time to handicap these games.

The blog is up $166 bringing the running total to $1,543

Good luck everyone