April 30 2013

MLB 0-2 yesterday
Season 19-71-1

Todays games
Yanks/Houst Over 8
SD/Cubs Over 10
TB/KC Under 7.5

NHL
Season 88-64-11
Todays Game
Minn/Chicago Under 5

NBA 1-0 yesterday
Season 89-74-1
Todays game
Denver -8

Blog lost $60 yesterday. Balance is $1,400

April 29 2013

MLB 2-1 yesterday
Season 19-15-1

Todays games
Minn/Det Over 8.5
Pitt ML +115


NHL
88-64-11

NBA 0-1 yesterday
88-74-1
Todays Game

Nets -6

Blog lost $6 in juice yesterday. Value now $1,460

Good luck everyone

April 28 2013

MLB 1-0 yesterday
Season 17-14-1
Todays Games

Rangers ML -130
KC ML -130
Oak/Balt Over 8



NHL
No games
88-64-1

NBA 0-2
88-73-1
Knicks/Boston Under 180.5

Blog lost $55, value now $1,466

April 27 2013

MLB 1-1 yesterday
Season 16-14-1
Todays Game
Oak/Balt Over 8

NHL
88-64-1
No games

NBA
88-71-1
Todays Game
Nets/Bulls Under 177
Okla/Houst Over 206

Blog Value is $1,521

Good luck

April 26 2013

I've hit a rough spot lately, and I've been here before. The end of the season in the NBA and NHL has killed me. I ran into that last year too. I at least have better stats now, so I can try and avoid that next year. Part of handicapping games is learning. Every year I get a bit better as I learn from these mistakes. This is also a good test for bank roll mgmt. This is why it is important to keep your bets to a small %. I am hurt, but I am still in the game, and I am going to work my way out. Like I've said, I have been here before and got myself out.

All bets will be $50 now.

MLB- 0-1-1 yesterday
15-13-1
Todays game
Yanks -135
Rangers/Twins over 8.5

NHL 0-1 yesterday
88-64-11

No games today

NBA 0-1 yesterday
88-71-1
Taking a pass today

The blog lost $198 bringing the total to $1,526

Good luck everyone

April 25 2013

MLB 1-0 yesterday
Season 15-12

Todays Games
Mets/Dodgers Over 8
Yanks/Toronto Under 8


NHL 1-0 yesterday
Season 88-63-11
Todays Game
Isle/Philly Over 6

NBA 0-1 yesterday
Todays game
Clippers/Memphis Over 179.5

The blog gained $54 total now $1,724

Good Luck everyone

April 24 2013

MLB Game Washed out
14-12
Todays games
Clev/Chicago WS Under 8

NHL 0-1 Yesterday
87-63-11
Todays Game
Detroit -130

NBA 0-1 Yesterday
88-69-1
Todays Game
Lakers +9

The blog lost $136, total now $1,670.
If there is another losing day, the amounts to bet will decrease.
Good luck everyone

April 23 2013

Rough day in Baseball, so I hope to bounce back. It is still early in the season, and I expec to bounce back.

MLB 0-3 yesterday for a $198 loss- Ouch
14-12
Todays game
White Sox/Cleveland Under 8

NHL 1-0 yesterday for a $60 profit
Season 87-62-11
Todays game
Isle ML -140

NBA - No games yesterday
88-68-1
Todays Game
Boston +7

The blog lost $138 yesterday dragging the total to $1,806. Lets hope to turn things around and start making money.

Good luck everyone

April 22 2013

MLB 2-1 yesterday for a $54 profit
Season 14-9
Todays Games
Angels/Rangers U 8
Pitt/Phils Over 8
Arizona ML +110

NHL 0-1 yesterday
86-62-11
Todays Game
Det -145 ML

NBA
88-68-1
No games today

The blog lost $6 bringing the total to $1,944

Good luck everyone

April 21 2013

MLB  2-2 yesterday for a $6 loss
Season 12-8
Todays Games

Oak/TB over 8
Stl/Philly Over 8.5
Det/Angels Over 8

NHL 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $72
Season 86-61-11
Carolina/TB over 6


NBA - Pushed yesterday.
Season 88-68-1
No games today

The blog lost $78 yesterday bringing the total to $1,950.

Good luck everyone

April 20 2013

MLB 1-1 yesterday
10-6 season
Todays games
Washington/Mets Over 7.5
Atlanta ML -135
Cleveland/Houston Over 8.5
Oak ML +118

NHL 0-1 yesterday
85-59-11
Todays Game
Ottowa ML -120
Boston ML -125
Philly/Carolina Over 5.5

NBA 88-68
Todays Game
Knicks -7

The Blog lost $66 bringing the total to $2,028

Good luck today

April 19 2013

Happy Friday.

Back to back positive days, lets keep it rolling.

MLB-  2-0 yesterday
Season 9-5

Todays games-
KC/Boston Over 8
Clev/Houston Over 8.5
Detroit/Angels Over 8.5

NHL- 1 and 1 yesterday 
Season 85-58-11

Todays Game

Boston ML -135  -Step out play will bet $135 to win $100- 
Buff ML +100

The blog won $114 bringing the total to $2,094

Good luck everyone

April 18 2013

Hope everyone is doing well. The regular NBA season has come to an end, and the playoffs will start this weekend. One trend I see with playoffs is the zig zag theory. I have used this for 3 years now, and have done well with it. Basically you take the second game of a series and take the team that lost and did not cover. For example, lets say The Knicks are  on the road getting 6 points and lose by 8. The next game Knicks are on the road again only getting 4 pts this time. Then I jump all over the Knicks.

MLB 7-5
No games yesterday
Todays Games
Atlanta/Pitt Over 8
Baltimore ML +112

NHL- 1-0 yesterday for a $60 profit
84-58-11 Season
Todays Games
TB/Mont Over 5.5
Phx/Stl Under 5


NBA 
No games
88-68


Blog is up $60 to $1,980

Good luck everyone

April 17 2013

MLB 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
7-5 season

No games today

NHL 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
83-59-11 Season

Todays game
Det/Cal under 5.5

NBA 1-0 yesterday for a $60 win
88-68 for the season
No game today

The blog lost $60 bringing the total to $1,920

Good luck everyone

April 16 2013

Hate days like yesterday. Another reason I created the blog is to document how I do or how well I do not do. I find it difficult during the end of the season, and I think thats why there is a drop off for NBA and NHL, so I am going to take a conservative approach for both till the playoffs. I live and die by stats, and I am finding it difficult to tell what teams are going to show up.

MLB
Colorado Mets Game was cancelled yesterday, so we didn't have a game.
7-4 for season

Todays Game
Tampa ml +113


Miami/Houston Race
Both winners yesterday
Miami total $94. Bet $23 Washing -1.5
Houston total $88 Bet $22 Oakland -1.5. Both are around +100 or -105.

NHL 0-2 yesterday for a $132 loss.
83-58-11 Season

Todays Game
Minn/Edm Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday for a $66 loss
87-68 Season
Todays Game
Toronto/Atlanta Over 197

Good luck everyone

April 15 2013

Hope everyone had a good weekend. Kinda blah weekend for the blog, but still going strong. Basketball is on its last legs, and it has been tough to pick winners. Hard to tell who has motivation at this point, so I am going to be conservative till playoffs.

MBL 1-2 yesterday for a loss of $49.
7-4 for the season.

Todays Game
Mets/Rockies Over 10

Houston/Miami race
Miami- Lost- Balance now $76.
Next bet- $20 - Washington  -1.5 -110  $20 to win $18

Houston- Win- Balance now $69
Next bet $17-  Oakland -1.5 +115- $17 to win $19

NHL- 1-0 Yesterday for +$63
83-56-11

Todays Games
Van/Nash under 5
Phoenix ML -110

Aggressive Play- Havent had one in a bit
Balance is now $183
Bet $91 on Montreal ML -200 to win $45


NBA
0-1 yesterday for a loss of $66
Todays Game
Oklahoma City -15.5


The Blog lost $52 yesterday brigning the total to $2,186.

Good Luck everyone

April 14 2013

MLB 3-0 yesterday for a profit of $198
6-2 for the season
Todays games
Clev +119
Seattle +119
Dodgers +111


Miami Houston race- Both losers yesterday
Miami- Total $101- Bet Phils -1.5 +125 $25 to win $31
Hosuton- Total $55- Bet Angles -1.5 -105 $14

NHL- 1 and 4 yesterday for a loss of $160
Season  82-56-11
One game today
Chicago ML +105

NBA 0-1 yesterday for a $60 loss
87-66

Todays Game
Cleveland/Philly over 197

The blog lost $22 yesterday bringing the total to $2,238.
Good luck everyone

April 13 2013

Happy Weekend everyone.

MLB- No games yesterday 3-2 for season
Todays Games

Indians ML +118
Brewers/Cards Over 7.5
Dodgers ML +111

Worst team to make money on contest
I might scrap the Astros as they win again
Marlins $134- Next game $33 on Phils -1.5 (+115) to win $38
Houston  $75- Next game $20 on Angels -1.5 (+115) to win  $23

NHL-  1-0-1 yesterday for  profit of $60.
Season total - 81-52-10
Todays Games
Flyers/Sabres Over 5.5
Van/Colorado Under 5
Tampa +155   <---------Dog of the day $40 to win $62
Boston/Carolina Over 5
Pitt/Fl Over 5.5
Columbus/Minn Under 5

NBA- 1 and 2 yesterday for a $106 loss
87-65 for season
Todays Game
Phx/Minn Over 200.5

Good luck everyone

April 12 2013

Happy Friday everyone.

MLB 1-0 yesterday +66  
4-3 for the season
No Games today


Worst Team to bank on contest
Miami- Phils  -1.5 (+135 ) $25 to win $34
Houston- Angels -1.5  (+1.05)  $25 to win $26


NHL- 3-2-1 yesterday  +$10
Season- 80-52-9
Todays Games
Ottowa/Devils Under 5
Saint Louis/Columbus Under 5

NBA- No games yesterday
Season 86-63
Todays Games

Step Out play-    Bet $100 Washington -5.5

Washing/76ers Over 192.5
Dallas/Denver Over 206


The blog was up $76 bringing the total to $2,306.

Glad that I can help get you to your best day Phil. Its good to hear those feel good stories. I hope to help you continue with your good luck. Feel free to add any comments about my picks. I try to learn from the my picks when I am wrong. For example, I am scratching my head on such a huge scoring day from the FL/Jets game last night.  Both teams had issues scoring, but had no problem last night. The 5.5 line had me concerned, and sometimes the guys in Vegas know more than I do. That time they sure did. If anyone sees something that I might be missing, let me know.

Good luck everyone.

April 11 2013

Hope everyone is having a good day. Had a bit of a set back as both my side quests failed and I really do believe I made Houston mad. I am going to have a race and start over with Houston and see who is the worst team between them and Miami. Does anybody have any other teams that you think are worse?

MLB Went 1-1 for a $9 gain. 3-3 for the year.
Todays Game
Baltimore +111

NHL Ended our good run going 0-2 for a loss of $90
Lots of games today
Flyers ML -135
Montreal/Buffalo Over 5
SanJose/Detroit Under 5.5
Saint Louis/Minn Under 5
Avs/Kings Under 5

Step Out play Bet $100

Panthers/Jets Under 5.5


Aggressive Play- Hiller lost 3 games all year at home, and I bet on two of them, maybe all three. Still up on these plays, lets hope for a string of winners. Going against those Avs who got me. Lets hope they don't get me again.

Taking Kings ML -260  $75 to win $29.




NBA Went 1-0 Yesterday 86-63 for the season
No game today


The Blog lost $21 yesterday. The running total is $2,230.
Good Luck Everyone

April 10 2013

Thanks for all the feedback guys. Having a great run with the NHL. 90% last 3 days and 75% last week.

I think I made the Astros mad last night. I am still going to stick with the plan. The balance is now $75. Next bet is $20 to win $25 take Seattle -1.5 +125

MLB 2-2
Todays games
Mets +115
Oakland +116

NHL 2-0 yesterday 77-49-8 Profit of $120
Todays Games
Boston/Devils Under 5

Dog of the Day pick- Calgary +160  Bet $30 to win $64  2-2 for the dog picks

Agressive Play- Balance is now up to $300
Bet $150 on Ducks ML -212  $150 to win $70

NBA 1-1 yesterday       85-63
Todays Game
New Orleans/Sacramento Over 201.5


The blog is up $114 yesterday brigning the total to $2,251

Good luck everyone

April 9 2013

Good Day everyone, hope all is well. I know I haven't had many Baseball games yet. For those who do know me, I live and die by stats. I actually enjoy pulling my data together to help me find value. I get better every year, because I learn new stuff all the time.

NHL Went 1-0 on the only game played.  For a profit of $60
75-49-8

Todays Games
Tampa ML -125
Saint Louis/Nashville Under 5

NBA- No games yesterday  84-62
Todays Games
Indiana -14.5
Memphis -13.5

MLB 2-2
No games yesterday

I do have something interesting that I am going to try. I was listening to a handicapping radio show and someone brought up something that I would like to have a bit of fun with. I will keep track of this on the blog as well.

It is simple, all you do is take any team playing the Astros -1.5. I did this with other teams and made a lot of money. The lines will usually be around +120. The Astros are horrible this year, and will lose 100 games. As long as half of them are by 2 runs, you will win.

Once again this is an aggressive approach, so you start with a small amount. I start with $100. I ill bet 25% of that bankroll.

Today they are playing Seattle and the line is +140. We will bet $25 to win $35.

The blog won $60 bringing the total  to $2,137.

Let me know if you guys like plays like the Houston, which we are going to start and the Hockey one. Is this something you like or are following as well. I am just curious. I find it to be fun for something to do on the side, but I have a spreadsheet for this, so I don't have to add it to the blog.

Let me know and good luck.

April 8 2013

Hoep everyone had a good weekend. Rough day in the NBA. Glad to have a day off. Getting some good early trends in baseball, of course I just found one that would have had me pick the Brewers and they are winning. Figures.

NHL 2-1 yesterday Postive $120
Todays Games
Toronto ML Even

Aggressive Play-  This balance is up to $248. Next bet will be $120 on Boston ML -221 to win about $55.

To anyone knew to the blog, I am taking certain heavy favorites starting with a $100 bankroll, I bet half on every game. The plan is to turn $100 into a grand or two, or more if I am lucky. If I can get a streak of 10 in a row, I can make a lot of money. Once I get to about $800, I will probably pocket $400 and continue knowing that it will be all profit. I've done this many times in baseball and hocky. The shortned hocky season ruined it a bit, but I look forward to use it in baseball. Last year in Baseball, I think I made a couple grand, two years ago I made 5 grand just on the Giants alone. It is aggressive, so I only start with a hundred. Something that I wont mind if it turns out to be a bust, which does and will happen. Hopefully the first one for the blog will be a winner.

NBA- Lost 0-4 day. These days happen, and have happened since I started the blog, and I have bounced back, so I hope for a quick bounceback.
84-62

No NBA games today.

I do like the under for tonights Championship game if anyone is curious.

MLB- 2-2
No games today. I was going to take the Brewers but missed the boat and they are up 5-2.  This trend will not last long and I am upset I missed todays game. Hopefully I can get a couple more winners before Vegas catches up. There will be other trends, so I am not concerned.

The blog lost $120 bringing the total to $2,077.

Good luck everyone

April 7 2013

There is an early game in hockey that is a step out play, so I am going to post it now and come back later for the rest.
Thanks for being patient. I had to run out, so I didn't get a chance to handicap all the games, so I just looked at any early games. I am back with more picks, and my early NHL pick is looking great, I put that in as early as I could, so I hope you were able to jump on it if you wanted to.

If you would like to reach out to me, my e-mail is smd16307@yahoo.com.

All bets will be $60 now unless noted for the blog.

NHL
Stl/Detr Under 5.5  Bet $100
Tampa/Washington Over 5.5

Dog of the Day- 2-1 so far taking huge dogs.
$30 bet taking Nashville +165  $40 to win $66

Went 2-0 yesterday for $100 profit. 72-48-8

NBA - Went 2-1 yesterday for $45 profit.  84-58 for the season
Todays games
Orlando/Cleveland Over 204
Memphis +5.5
Bulls -5
New Orleans/Phoenix Over 198

MLB 2-2
No games today. Still gathering data.

The blog gained $145 bringing the total to $2,197. I like to bet 3% of the account balance which will bring the bets up to $60.

Good luck everyone

April 6 2013

Welcome to the weekend. Hope everyone is well.

NHL 3-0 yesterday hitting the step out play as well as another Dog of the Day bet. For a profit of $162
70-48-8
Todays Games
Washington/Florida over 5.5
Phoenix ML -150

Aggressive Play- Balance is up to $190. Next game take Kings -175 $95 to win $55

NBA 0-2 yesterday loss of $110
Det/Minn Over 197
Toronto/Bucks Over 202
Denver +1

MLB- 2-2
No games today.

Blog is up $52 bringing the total to $2,052. For now keep bets at $50
Good luck everyone

April 5 2013

Happy Friday. Hope everyone is having a good day and ready to make some money.

NHL 0-1 yesterday 67-48-8    Loss of $55

Our aggressive heavy fav betting is off to a fast start. This is not for the timid. I got another play for that.
The total is up to $160
Todays Aggressive Bet $80 on San Jose ML -240  to win $33

The other plays of the day
Calgary/SJ Under 5.5

Step out play Pitt -135  <--- Revenge..........   $80 to win $60

and another Dog of the Day bet!!! 1-1 so far, but since it only takes dogs we are up.
Dallas +175  $30 to win $52

NBA 1-0 yesterday 82-55
Todays Games
Boston/ClevOver 202.5
Portland +5


MLB 2-2
No MLB today. Still gathering data, so there will not be a lot of baseball, but I will share when I feel there is a lot of value.

The blog lost $5 as it was split for the day. Lets have a great day and increase the bets!!!!

Good luck everyone

April 4 2013

You may want to fade me today, because I am going to pat myself on the back here. Today the blog officially doubled the account balance in about 3 months. It may not seem much to turn $1,000 into $2,000, but when you are only betting 3% of your bankroll, it is huge. For me, my personal goal is to make a living doing this. If I had a starting bankroll of $50,000 and I bet 3% like I've been doing, I would have made $50,000 in 3 months. My goal would be to make 6 figures and this seems very possible. Now I am not going to quit my job and move to vegas just yet. I got to do this for a long time to prove to myself that I can do it.

Before I go into the picks, I wanted to talk about an agressive betting strategy I have used in the past. I like it, because you start with a small balance and always bet half of the balance on a heavy favorite. There will be losses here and there, but you can win 15 or 20 times in a row easy, and with this aggressive betting style, you can make some bucks. It is not as bland as my 3% betting strategy, but it works. I have started with $100 and turned that into 3 grand, 1 grand, and once even 5 grand. Last year I was a pig, had the account up to 7 grand, and then lost. It was at 3500 and then I lost again, still walked away witn a grand. Of course I have lost a lot as well, but I am pretty smart about picking the right games. Lets say you think the Lakers are going to win their next 7 games. They wont be huge favorites, but you can use this for the 7 games and make a lot if you are right. Sure there might be a loss mixed in there, but as long as you keep the bets to 50% you should be ok. Just start small just in case your wrong.

I am going to start tracking this for fun. This will not be included into the blog balance.

NHL 1-2 yesterday for a $30 loss.
67-47-8
Todays games
Nashville ML -123

Aggressive test  Bet $50 on Boston ML -193 , after they win balance will be $125, bet half on LA Kings -177.

NBA 2-0  Profit of $100     81-55
Todays game
Chicago +5

MLB 1-1 yesterday  2-2 for year
No games today

Blog gained $67 bring the grand total to $2,005.

Lets keep it going, good luck everyone

April 3 2013

Nice day yesterday, lets keep it going. I am going to lower the amt for Baseball. I am not using stats for basseball, so I am going with past history and other trends that may or may not be working this year. I listen to a lot of videos from pro handicappers given their thoughts to help me. So the amt for baseball will be $30 and will probably stay there till around May or when I feel more comfortable with my data.

NHL 2-0 yesterday 66-45-8
Todays games
Rangers ML -110
Calgary ML even

Lets bring back my fav pic, Dog of the Day. Todays dog is Dallas +160. We are 1-0 so far.
We will bet $30 to win $48

NBA 1-0 yesterday 79-55
Todays games
Wash/Toronto Under 195
Phoenix/Clippers Over 199


Baseball  0-1 yesterday 1-1 so far
Todays games
Yanks ML -115-  Since I was betting baseball I was all over the Yanks for winning on opening day and then would double up if I lost. I didn't go with day 1, beacuse I had a feeling they would lose. I love thsi game for them to win.

Atlanta ML -130-  I have no faith with Halladay. Phils don't have much either, and thats why he is starting today. I don't think vegas has faith either since the line is here. If Halladay was the old Halladay, the Phils might even be a small favorite. His speed has lost some steam, and that will not be any good for the Phils.


The blog won $125 yesterday, brigning the running total to $1,938. I was really hoping for a sweep to push the blog over $2,000. Hopefully today we will blow past that mark.

Good luck everyone!

April 2 2013

Hope everyone is havign a good day. When I like to handicap Baseball, Statfox has tons of good data. Some say that Baseball is the easiest sport to handicap. What I look at is how teams play at home, compared to the road, and you have to look at pitchers too.  Statfox you can look at how well a team hits a lefty compared to a righty. You can even look at day games compared to nightgames or inside compared to outside. You can even see an umpire report. Some umpires have smaller strike zones, so if you can find that out and if you know your pitchers, you can use that to your knowledge. At this stage, I am collecting data on Baseball. It usually takes till about May before I feel comfortable. I am not sure if I would say Baseball is the easiest, but there is a lot of data out there to help you make a decision.
Other things to consider- 1) Bullpen- God I made so much money last year on the Mets. They had the worst ballpen for the longest time. Keep an eye on this.
2) I always keep an eye on streaks. Certain teams just come together and roll. Last year the Yankies went on a streak and I took them and the over and made a killing.
3) Know your teams- This kind of goes with streaks, but certain teams have slow starts like Boston. Don't jump blindly, especially sicne they won, but if they started the season getting swept by the Yanks this week, I would then probably fade them more.

Hope this helps.

NHL- 64-45-8  Went 1-1-1 yesterday for a loss of $5.
Todays games
Jets/Isle over 5.5
Buff/Pitt Under 5.5

NBA  78-55  went 2-0 yesterday for $100 profit
Todays game
Step out play
Washington -1.5  $75 bet

MLB 1-0 - I wont add the Over on the NY/Bos game since I didnt have it in time +50
Todays game
Oaklnd ML -140


The blog made $145 increasing the balance to $1,813

Good luck everyone

April 1 2013

Happy April Fools Day. Hopefully my picks wont be a prank. Day is opening day for Baseball, and usually I stay home to watch the games, but the wife has a very long honey do list, so I will goto work and just watch the games on ESPN. As for my baseball picks, I find that every year can be differen't so I like to collect some data before I start on the games. That is the downfall of being a stat guy.

I did like the over on the Yanks/Boston game, which is heading that way. I also like the Dodgers to win. The ML is at -150, but defending world champs usually lose when they play the first game on the road. Take that plus playing against a much improved Dodger team and going against Kershaw. Not looking good for SF.

NHL Went 1-0 yesterday 63-44-7
Todays Games
Carolina/Mont Under 5.5
Minn Wild ML -118
Van/San Jose Under 5

NBA Went 1-1 For a $5 loss 76-55
Todays games
Bucks -12
San Antonio/Memphis Under 186

Good luck everyone.