Feb 28 2013

The last day of Feb and I hope to make this a good one. Lots of games in the NHL which I like today. I had a good month, and I hope to end with a great night. I am 60% for both the NHL and the NBA so far this year. Many moons ago, I was dumb and paid someone for picks, and I wish they were 60% on anything. Its got to be pretty nice to get free picks where the capper is at 60%. Last year in the MLB I was like 62%, so hopefully I can continue making you guys money.

We won $36 dollars yesterday bringing the running total to $1,332

NHL 30-20-3 We split yersterday.
Todays
Toronto +115- I like Toronto, but Reimer is back, and that is a wild card for tonights game. I am still going with them, but I leave that up to you to decide if you want to as well.

Pitt -140 ML
Phx -135 ML
Devils -105  ML

NBA Won last game 45-30
Todays game
Philly/Chicago Under 178.5

College- Starting to look better in college. Went 3-2 yesterday. 95-94-1
Todays games
Detroit/Temple Over 156
Wofford/Charleston Under 116.5
Southeast Missouri/Austin Peavy Over 150
Oregon St +10

Good luck everyone

Feb 27 2013

A small positive day, and I will take a positive day any day. I made $32 to bring the total to $1,296.

NHL- Went 2-1 yesterday to bring the total to 29-19-3
Todays Games
Det/Kings Over 5
Ducks ML -130

NBA- Split yersterday 44-30. Clev showed a lot by winning on the road. I was locked in myself, and honestly, if I knew the injury news, I would have stayed away. I am glad it won for anyone that jumped in early like myself.

Todays game
Portland +2.5

College- Went 2-1 yesterday. 92-92-1
Todays games
Virginia Tech/Miami Fl Under 133
Eastern Michigan/ Northern Illinois Under 108
Houston/UTEP Under 136
Georgia/Vandy Under 112
USC +7

Good Luck Everyone

Feb 26 2013

A little bit of a down day as we drop $48 to bring our running total to $1,264.
I missed an easy win with the NBA on the over on the Lakers game lst night. I wrote it down as I was going through the numebrs but somehow missed it. By the time I noticed, it was too late. Oh well. Lets jump back into this and make some money.

NHL- Split yesterday down 4 bucks.
Todays games
Carolina ML +113
Boston ML -145
Phoenix/San Jose Over 5

NBA Lost the one game -48
Todays games
Philly/Orlando Over 189.5
Cleveland +6.5

College Went 1-0 yesterday 90-91-1
Todays games
Loyola Chic/Detroit Over 143.5
Wright ST/UIC Under 113.5
Towson +7


Good Luck

Feb 25 2013

Happy Monday everyone. I couldn't continue the perfection, but hopefully I can bounce back. I am going to start updaing my blog later in the day. I like to try and get an understanding on who the goalies will be in the NHL.

NHL- 27-18-3 - Another good day for the NHL as I take 2 out of 3 for a $40 profit
Todays games
Edm/Chicago Under 5.5
Ducks +130

NBA 43-29- Lost two for -$88
Todays game Utah -7

College- 89-91-1
Kansas St -18.5

We lost $48 yesterday to bring our total down to $1,312. Still keeping bets at $40.

Good luck everyone

Feb 24 2013

I've had a great Feb and I am now over 60% for both NBA and NHL. I hope to have another great day today and lets all make some money.

NHL 25-17-3- Went 1-0 yesterday, 5-1-1 for the week.

Todays games

Van/Det Under 5.5
Carolina ML +107
Columbus/Chicago Under 5.5

NBA 43-27, 1-0 yesterday , 6-1 since the all star break
Todays games

Dallas -3
Philly/Knicks Under 187.5

Collge 89-91-1
There are no games I like today


We won both games yesterday for $60 profit, bringing me to $1,360. I am going to increase all bets to $40.

Good luck to everyone today

Feb 23 2013

Another great day as I go 3-0 with NBA and NHL. I am over 60% for the year in the NBA and around 58% in the NHL. I went out late last night and had a little too much to drink, so I haven't had a chance to handicap as much as I would like. I haven't even looked at college and the card will be small today. NHL seems tricky today.

NHL 24-17-3
Todays game
Rangers/Mont Under 5

NBA 42-27
Todays game
Indiana/Detroit Under 187.5

College 89-91-1

We won another $90 yesterday. If I have another good day today, we will increase the bets.

Good luck everyone

Feb 22 2013

Another good day and hopefully anyone that reads this blog has been making some money. I think in the NBA I am around 65% for the month of February. I am hoping that I can keep it going. If I expect to do this as a living, I need to be close to 60%. I was 70% once in hockey, so my goal is to try and hit that 70%.

The more data I get, the better I am at a sport, so now I am starting to get enough data on goalies. For example, Anderson has been unstopable, one reason why I picked ottowa and the under last night. Unfortauntely he got hurt and Bishop came in and gave up two quick goals. Ottowa was able to come back and win in a shoot out, so I still won a unit and some juice to hockey. If Bishop was the goalie, I would not have taken that pick.

So there are only 3 games in the NHL, and if the right goalie plays, I think I like a play, but I want to wait till 3pm to see who they announce. So come back after 3pm to see the NHL pick.

NHL 22-17-3 Went 1-0-1 yesterday for a $35 Profit
Todays Game
San Jose/Chicago Under 5.5



NBA 40-27 Won the only game for a $30 Profit
Todays games
Chicago -7
Indiana -9.5


College- 89-90-1
Butler -2

Forgot to add bankroll. I did some quick math and for the blog we are at $1,210.

Good Luck

Feb 21 2013

Sorry I am so late with my picks today. Still fighting this cold, and now that I am tracking goalies for hockey, I wanted to get a confirm on who was starting. A couple of teams are keeping that a secret from me.

NHL- We didn't have any games yesterday. 21-17-2 for the year
Todays game I like is the Rangers/Ottowa game/ I like the line and the o/u.
I like Under 5 and I like Ottowa which is currently at +116

NBA 39-27
Great 2-0 sweep yesterday.
Todays game
Miami/Chicago Under 186

College- Split again. 89-90-1. I am just tracking my college picks. I just don't have the data I need to make good picks. I think to become a good handicapper, it takes time. This is a learning year from me for college. I think college can be split into 3 parts. The first part of the season, the conference games, and finally tournament play. Tempo and efficiency seems to change with each part, so I have to track each.  It will take a lot of work, but I feel that this can be done. Just not now. So please understand that my college basketball picks are informational only with trends that I still feel like have value, but I do not bet on each one, and I want to be honest.

Good luck today

Feb 20 2013

My winning hockey streak comes to an end thanks to 2 goals that came in the last 2 minutes. Hopefully we can bounce back from that.

NHL 21-17-2
No games today

NBA 37-27
Miami/Atl Under 197
Nets/Mil Under 197


College 88-89-1
Todays Games
Texas Tech +10
Wis/Northwestern Under 116

I lost both games yesterday for $-66 bringing our total to $1,084

Lets get it back today. Good luck

Feb 19 2013

On a great hot streak with hockey. I think I have won 7 staright. I hope to keep that going.

NHL 21-16-2
Won last game. I love it when I dont have to swaet, nice 3-0 win for Toronto.
Todays game
Van/Chicago Under 5.5

NBA 37-26
Todays game
Toronto/Washington Over 190.5

College Basketball- Split yesterday 87-88-1
Todays games
Indiana +2
N Iowa/Missouri Under 116.5

Won $30 yesterday for a total of $1,150.

Good luck everyone

Feb 18 2013

Happy Presidents Day. I had a day off from work, but my son is sick, so I was up all last night with him and the doctors today, so I didn't get to working on this till later today. I am sorry Nick, I didn't get your message till it was too late. I would have told you to stay off. Hopefully you played since they won.

NHL- went 1-0 yesterday 20-16-2 for the year

Todays game
Toronto -102 to win.

College basketball- Lost last game as I try to firgure somethings out. I persnonally have not bet on myself on college basketball. I am still posting plays to help me determine when I got a feeling I am back.  Still keeping a record too, but I will let everyone know once I feel confident.

86-87-1
Todays Games
Pitt -10
Rutgers/Villanova Over 130.5

NBA 37-26  Games start tomorrow.

Account value after yesterday $1,120

Good luck everyone

Feb 17 2013

Having a rough go with college basketball lately. I am back at .500. On the positive side, I won another hockey game. If anyone follows my college basketball picks, I would wait till I get hot again. I am going to try some new trends that I have found.

NHL 19-16-2
Todays game
Rangers ML -150

NBA 37-26
I am not touching the all star game

College 86-86-1
Todays Game
Miami Fl/Clemson Over 120.5

We lost a little juice, but for the year we are still positive $1,090.00

Feb 16 2013

Nice day yesterday as I went 3-0 for hockey. 4-1 for the day. Thanks for the support while I had a couple day losing streak.

Todays games
NHL 18-16-2

Ottowa/Tor Under 5.5

NBA 37-26
No games

College basketball 84-83-1

Iowa St -18
Fresno St/Wyoming Under 108.5
Texas Am/Vandy Under 111
TX Arlington/Seattle Under 127
Montana -8


Good Luck

Feb 15 2013

I hate to have back to back losing days. Hopefully today will end that streak. Anyone who bets on games knows that bad streaks can follow you along, and if you are not smart with your money management, you could be broke real easily. This is why I stress bankroll mgmt.

NHL- Went 1-2 yesterday . 15-16-2 for the year.
Todays Games
Stl/calgary Over 5.5
San Jose/Chicago Under 5.5
Devils ML -145

NBA
No games Went 0-1 yesterday. 37-26 for the year. 

College 1-3 yesterday 83-82-1
Todays games
Georgetown +4
Niagra/Marist Over 145.5

We lost $116 yesterday, bring us down to $1,004 for the year.

Feb 14 2013

Had a dud of a day with college basketball. Some of my favorite trends that were 60-70% so far went 0-3. Even CS Fullerton didn't come through for me, and they were like an ATM for me. For that reason, I only bet $50 and not more than 5% of my bankroll.  On a positive note, I am now 50% for hockey, and I hope to keep that trend going.

NHL 14-14-2  Won the only game +$30
Todays Games
Mont/Florida Over 5
Toronto ML +130
PHX/Nashville Under 5

NBA 37-25  No games yesterday
Todays game
Clippers/Lakers Under 199

College Went 1-4 yesterday for a loss of -$122
Todays games

West Illinois/ North Dakota State Under 101
Oakland/South Dakota Over 159  <---- Step out play $50
Hawaii/UC Davis Over 153.5
Cal St Northridge/Pacific Over 141
Gonzaga/St Marys Over 142

We lost $92 for a running total of Plus $120, $1,120.

Good luck today

Feb 13 2013

Great day yesterday, and I hope to continue with the winning. NBA is nearing the All Star Break, and the fact that I am about 60% in the NBA this year is huge. You have to be conservative around this time of the year, and I did get a comment asking how I am doing so well where most handicappers have issues. I can't be certain, but I believe that motivation is hard to predict this time of the year, and I noticed a lot of handicappers use that as a major tool in determining value. I do keep an eye on motivation, but my shortfall does come with having the time to research why one team might have motivation over another. I don't get to watch Sportscenter every night, I work full time and have two young children that I have to give my time to as well. I wake up early to put my stats together and then use my lunch time to research and get lines. I am a stat guy. I love stats and I play with my excel spreadsheets to find value. I see trends like a home dog with more than 2 days rest playing against a road fav with 1 day or bb, covers 65% of the time.  I then take that info with other stats that show teams that cover well as a dog or whatever. Eventually Vegas catches on these as well and the lines start moving. Once I see that the trend is over, I stop, and look for some new values. I always find some value or trend. I keep data on almost everygame. I missed a week in the NBA, but have every game for hockey. College is tough, because there are just too many games. Next year I plan to keep stats on a couple of areas so I can have good detailed info. I know that this is kind of winded, but this is what I do. My ultimate goal is to do this professionally, where I will have all the time I need. Might take a couple more years. I really try to help others who want help, so anyone can always feel free to ask me anything.

Lets get to Games!!!!!

Oh and yes I have a step out play today. My favorite Cal St Fullerton.

NHL Went 2-0-1 yesterday. 13-14-2 for the year.  +$60
Only 3 games today, only game I like is Stl/Det Over 5.5. Elliot has been horrible in goal and every game seems to go over. Actually Jake Allen is in goal. I still like the over. Maybe not as much as I did before, but we will stick with it.

NBA- Won the only game. 37-25 +$30
I don't have any games today. Nothing is sticking out today, and I just dont want to bet a game to bet a game. Got lots of leans, but nothing that I want to risk $ on.

College- 2-1 yesterday 81-75-1  +$27
Todays games
Miami FL -6.5
Forham/Xavier Under 135.5
Air Force +3
NC/Duke Over 153

Step Out Play!!!!!! I will bet $50 on this game instead of $30
Cal St Fullerton/Long Beach St Over 159


Yesterday we made $117 for a new total of $1,212.  I still will keep bets at $30 or around 3%. Once I am up to $1,300 I will start to push it up to $40.

Good luck everyone!!!

Feb 12 2013

Good day yesterday as I close in on 60% for the NBA this year.  I hope to continue with winning.

Hockey- 11-14-2  Went 0-1-1 yesterday  $-33
Todays Games
Mont/TB Over 5.5
Dallas/Edm Under 5
Minn/Van Under 5

NBA Perfect 3-0 yesterday for +90 
36-25
Todays game
Utah +5.5

College Basketball 79-74-1
No games yesterday

Today
Manhattan/Fairfield Under 111.5
Alabama/Georgia Under 112.5
Villanova +7

Total won yesterday $57
Running total $1,095

Good luck everyone

Feb 11 2013

Hope everyone is doing well. I split yesterday and lost money on the juice. I am going to be conservative with college to see if things have changed with certain trends.

NHL 11-13-1
Todays games
Flyers/Toronto Under 5.5
Kings/Stl Over 5

I like San Jose to win, but the line is -170.  A tad too much for me, and hard to take them -1.5 on the road.

NBA
33-25
Todays games
Charlotte/Boston Under 192
New Orleans +5
Washington +4.5

College
79-74-1
Todays game
Manhattan/Fairfield Under 111.5

Our total bank accoutn after the loss is $1,038. We are still in the green, but not where I would like to be.

Good luck everyone

Feb 10 2013

A small loss yesterday, I hope that we can turn things around quickly here. I have noticed that the lines in college basketball have moved a bit, so I am going to keep a close eye as overs have been bringing things back to the mean. It doesn't help that Penn St plays like they are down by 3 when they are down by 15 and keep fouling. That is a lesson learned. I have to be more aware of coaches who make their players play hard the whole time.

NHL- 2-0 sweep yesterday, I hope to be back at .500 soon and then never look back.

Todays Games
Devils/Pitt Over 5
Chicago/Nash Under 5

NBA 32-25
Oklahoma City/Phx Under 204.5

College Basketball  79-73-1
Canisius/Niagra Over 150.5

Good Luck

Feb 9 2013

The weekend is here, and for any handicapper that makes a busy day trying to handicap college basketball. I actually was up to 1 AM getting stuff ready and woke up early to finish, and now I get to shovel .

We had a postive day yesterday sweeping NBA and taking the loss in hockey. The total value as of today of the account is $1,083.

NHL 8-12-1
Still early for hockey, but I would be shocked if I was not over 50% by the end of the month.
Todays games
Over 5 Ducks/Stl
Under 5  Nashville/Minn

NBA 32-24
Todays Game
Over 209.5 Golden State/Dallas

College 78-70-1
Todays games
Under 145 East Carolina/UCF
Under 118 Penn St/Nebraska
Over 165 Nebraska Omaha/Iupui
Under 137 North Dakota/Montana

Good Luck

Feb 8 2013

Small card today. Split yesterday, and I was shocked the Devils game went over. I thought I had it, but in hockey goals can come very quickly. As I get more data, the better I will be when it comes to hockey, so I am not worried.

Todays games

NHL 8-11-1

Todays Game
Ducks/Dallas over 5

NBA 30-24
Todays Games
New Orleans +4.5
Phoenix/Oklahoma Over 205.5

College 78-70-1
No games today. I am going to try to be more selective during the weekend, I understand giving out 10 games makes it difficult to bet.

I am going to start keeping dollar amounts to see how well I would do if I was trying to do this as my full time job. I will start with $1,000 and only bet 3% of my over all balance. As my bankroll increases so will my bet amounts. I will use -110 for the juice unless I note differently. I personally use 5dimes a lot, which has the lowest juice.

So we will start with betting $30 a game. For the step out games, they would be $50 or 5%.

NHL- At a loss of -123
NBA +108
College Basketball-  +70

These are only rough numbers to start off with. I know it is not the most accurate, but going forward will be more accurate.

Total +$55 

Feb 7 2013

Sorry about the delay, busy morning, so I haven't had a chance to fully research games.

NHL 8-10
Todays Games
Tampa/Devils Under 5.5
Vancouver/Minn Under 5

NBA 30-24
No games today

College 77-70-1
Todays Game

Marist/Iona Over 154

Good Luck

Feb 6 2013

Had one of those days yesterday. I hope that these are far and few between. They do happen, but we just brush off and cont on. Hockey is still early on, so I am not concerned. There aren't enough games at home or on the road to start looking at trends.

NHL 8-10
No games today.

NBA
29-22
Phoenix +6-
Knicks/Washington Over 191.5

I forgot to add Tor -3

College
Tulsa -3
Bowling Green/Northern Ill Under 114

Good Luck

Feb 5 2013

A small card yesterday but we went 2-0, and I hope to keep that going.

NHL- 8-8
Won yesterday, and I hope to get us over .500 and stay there.
Todays games
Panthers/Jets Over 5.5
Chicago/San Jose Under 5.5

NBA 29-21 No game yesterday
Todays Game
Atlanta/Indiana Under 183

College 1-0 yesterday 75-68-1
Todays Games
Boston College/Miami Fl Under 130
Wake Forest +12

Good luck everyone

Feb 4 2013

Does anyone else have Superbowl hangover?  I can't recall the last time I didn't do well in the Superbowl. I know I had a good streak going, but can't win every year. I had a pretty bad year in the NFL, and I feel that is the one sport that I know the most. I have six years of data from the NFL, and this year was different from the past 5 in lots of ways. I have a lot of time to analyze the data and see where I was off for next year. If I want to do this professionally, I need to do better with the NFL.

When one is off on the Superbowl, the props usually follow. Only went 2-4 on the props, and I am kicking myself for not taking the over on the National Anthem.

I am looking for a better NFL next year. If I do not have this blog up, here is one probably lock for the first game in pre-season. Look for the Eagles to win their first pre-season game. Depending on who they are playing and the line, a first year caoch in the NFL will take this game seriously. New head coaches usually play the first pre-season tough, and you love to see them play a tenured team who just doesnt care. (except Mike Shanahan, that guy loves to win no matter what type of game)

NHL- Won the only game we played. 7-8.
Todays Game
Ducks -105

NBA
29-21
No game today

College
Lost the one game we played. 74-68-1
Todays game
Nothern Arizona/Sac St Under140.5

Good luck!!!

Feb 3 2013

Happy Superbowl Sunday. I am pretty sure anyone reading this will be watching the big game tonight. I am pretty sure it will be a good game.

NFL- 3-4 for this blog.
I have under 48 locked in. I still like it under 47.5 or 47. I do have a lean towards San Fran -3.5. I actually have a parlay on that, but for not too much.

Here are the props for the Superbowl. The sportsbook you use may not have the same props, but if you use multiple sportsbook, you will find them.

I really like any props for no score in the first 7 mins. Or if you can find an under first quarter. I would even sprinkle a little bit for no score in the first 10 mins. The odds are like +250 or greater on that.

Torey Smith under 3.5 catches -110
LeMichael James over 28.5 yards -125
Bernard Pierce Over 7 rushing attempts -145
First score not a TD +130
No score first 7 mins +117
first 10 mins- +300
For those daring First 14- +780
Kaepernick Rushing yds under 43.5 +140







NHL-  We split the card yesterday,we are now 6-8 for the blog.

Pitt -125

NBA Perfect 2-0 yesterday 29-21 for the year
No games today

College went 4-5 yesterday, a couple close games. 74-67-1 for the blog

Todays Game
Virginia/Georgia Tech under 112


Good Luck

Feb 2 2013

Big day today. Lots of games on this Saturday before the Superbowl. There could be some good value with a lot of people having money locked up in the Superbowl.  We had a split day yesterday, which ends our winning streak, but hopefully that will change today.

NFL- I will be back to post all the props. I have placed some already on this blog. I am not sure if I will take anymore. These are my thoughts on the Superbowl. I like the Under, and I like San Fran. I actually just took them -3, but not too much. The last time these teams played it was very low scoring, now I dont expect that low of a game, but I think the scoring will come in the 2nd half. So some good props are unders for 1st quarter etc. I think Pierce and James will see more touches. They are more explosive, so over props on them. I like the under completions for Flacco, but if SF has a huge lead, all Balt may do is pass. SF has physical dbs, so I think Boldin will do well, but Smith might have a tough time getting off of the line.

NHL 4-6- A tough day in hockey. It is early in the season, and I am not worried. I always have a slow start in hockey.

Todays games
Edmonton +110
Rangers +110
Detroit -110
Dallas/Phx Under 5  - I liked the last game and it went over. So now I really like the under as teams will review tapes to see what they could have done better.


NBA- A split day yesterday.  27-21 for the year.

Todays Games
Chicago +7
Golden St -8.5

College 70-62-1
We won the only game we played.
Todays games

Virginia Tech/NC Over 159
Old Dominion/Georgia St Under 132
Houston/SMU Under 140
Alabama/Vandy Under 113
TCU/Texas Under 111
San Jose/Idaho Under 128
Hawaii/CS Fullerton Over 167
Oakland/Nebraska Omaha Over 169.5
S Dakota/N Dakota ST Under 134

Good luck today

Feb 1 2013

Another positive day, and I hope that I can continue with the winning. 2-0 with my step out plays.

NFL 3-4
On Sunday I will post all the props.
Another prop I am taking is Torey Smith Under 3.5 catches.
A fun prop I took was that the MVP would thank God first. A friend of mine told me that if Baltimire wins, the MVP most likely would be Ray Lewis and he would definetly say that first and Kaepernick would do as well. The odds for that is +250. Not a bad bet to make.

NHL 3-4
Todays games
Phoenix/Dallas Under 5
Ottowa to win +113
Jets/Tampa Over 6

NBA 26-20
76ers/Kings Over 196.5
Dallas +3.5

College Basketball- 69-62-1    Went 3-1 including another step out play
Todays game
Brown/Dartmouth Under 121.5

Good luck