Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Day 47

Had a bad day yesterday, but those things happen, so lets move on. I didn't have time to add comments yesterday, and I know I wanted to share what I learned and things that can help you.
So today I want to talk about NBA over lines. I read somewhere a long time ago that when the line is at 220 or above, the game will usually go over. I've kept stats on this, and I think it was something like 73% over. We haven't seen lines that high this year. When the league started, a lot of games were going under. The whole issue with starting the season late and not having a lot of practice was effecting the outcomes. The odds makers have been doing a better job, but the games are now starting to get back to normal. Hence we saw a line yesterday at 217, Minn/Sac, which did go over.  I expect to see more lines like that, and I wanted to share that.
I hope you guys enjoy things like that. There are so many trends like this out there, that I can probably write a book about it. The longer I follow these stats, I find new ones. I also find tons of interesting stuff out there, and every now and then you can get some info and learn something. These trends are not always going to work 100% of the time, so you have to look at opportunity. Now is a good opportunity, beacuse the public isn't all over the overs. So a line like 217 will scare most from taking the over.

Totals so far.

College
71-44-4    $3,452   % total since I started this blog is 61.7%
NBA
49-34-3       $2,222
NHL
50-28-6       $5,784

Total Profit
$11,458

Todays Games

College womans-
I do not do research, but a good friend of mine makes lot on this and he told me that he loves this game, so I am sharing that with you. He is usually right.
Baylor 5.5 over Notre Dame

NBA
Magic/Det Over183
76ers/Heat Over 184
Phx/Kings Under 214  Sac usually doesnt score as much when playing back to back to cover this
Nets +9

NHL
Isle/devils Over 5.5
Pitt/Bos Over 6
Nash/Wild Over 5
Sharks/Stars Over 5

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