Day 14

A 50/50 day, which happens, and because of the juice, we take a small loss. That is why we have to be around and hopefully over 50% to be productive. I was way off on the Flyer game, and I should have stayed away, but it was too tempting. The college game, I missed by 3 points on the over, and one team came out really flat in the first half. If the game was closer, it would have hit the over.

To those who are new here, welcome, and please feel free to add comments or send me an e-mail. I really would love for this to get huge and get everyone to share feedback.

Here are the totals so far
College 15-91-1 $332
NBA 8-6 $120
Hockey 12-8-2 $200
Total $652

Todays games- Pls check back later, I will probably add more later. With the NBA just getting back to action from the All star break, I dont want to jump into things yet.

College B-Ball-
Akron -7 $88 to win $80
VMI +6.5 $88 to win $80
Mass +11.5 $88 to win $80
Col St +3 $88 to win $80


College Tourn Underdog plays to cover- Jacksonville +17.5
Colgate +22
navy +18
I find that these games usually cover since the team they are playing are usually looking forward to the next game.

Hockey- Tor to win +158 $50 to win $80



Notes- Just another note to think about. New Orleans Hornets have been a great play lately. They are really good on the road too. I dont like them today, but vegas seems to be off on them or they dont care since people bet against them. either way, one can make money from that.

Day 13

A great day yesterday as I start to plow ahead. As always, I never get too aggressive, because you never know when you can have an off day. Hopefully that won't hot us for a long time. Here are the totals so far, and I think I am going to press my bets again. If I am going to reach my goal of $100,000, I can't be betting $50 to $60 and expect it to happen. I also don't want to risk everything. At this point, I am starting to play with the casinos money.

College 14-8-1 $340
NBA 8-6 $120
Hockey 11-7-2 $208
Total $668.00

A nice return of 66%, and this is the only the start. I am going to press this week to $80. Lets up to double today.

College
Ill-Chic/Wi-Mil Over 127 $88 to win $80
Kansas St -4 $88 to win $80

Hockey
Flyers/SJ Over 5.5 $90 to win $80
Bos/Ottowa Under 5.5 $88 to win $80

I will probbaly be back with more college so check back.

Day 12

A good day yesterday to finish a strong weekend. We are in the postive and now is the time to start to press. I am going to increase my units size from $50 to $60.

Totals

College- 10-8-1 $100
NBA- 8-6 $120
Hockey 9-6-2 $130

Total $350- Running total $1,350.00- Starting from $1000.00 up 35%.


College- N Ariz/Montana St Over 135 $66 to win $60
Georgetown -6 $66 to win $60
Kansas -9 $66 to win $60
Miss Valley St -6 $66 to win $60

Hockey
Edm/Jets U 5.5 $66 to win $60
Edm +140 $60 to win $84
Rangers/Devils U5 $60 to win $60

Day 11

Only a couple games yesterday, but it was positive. Lets cont this streak.

Here are early games, I will be back with late games

Totals so far

College B-Ball- 8-5-1 $115
NBA- 7-6 $20
Hockey 6-6-2 ($20)

Total +115

Hockey
Florida Panthers $60 to win $50
TB/Devils Over 5.5 $55 to win $50

College
North Texas +9.5 $55 to win $50
Cinn/S Fl Over 117 $55 to win $50
Louiville/Pitt Under 129 $55 to win $50

NBA
All star gane Over 283 Big Play $110 to win $100

There is going to be no Defense, and Vegas knows it. The line is so high, like vegas wants you to bet under. When I feel that I go the other way and strong. It doesnt work all the time, but more than not.



Late game updates

Colorado +3 $55 to win $50
Fl St +1 $55 to win $50

Hockey

Sharks/Wild Over 5 $50 to win $60

Day 10

A good day yesterday, lets hope this will continue.

I dont have a lot of time to look at the college yet, but I will probably have an update so check back.

Totals so far
College- Would have went 3 for 3 but missed by half a point
7-5-1 +$65

NBA 7-6 +$20

Hockey
6-6-1 ($20)

Total +$65


Todays games
Hockey Stl over 5 $55 to win $50

College VT +13 $55 to win $50

Day 9

A break even day, and I knew that I should have taken the over on the Flyers. I just thought that the D was so bad that it wouldnt matter, but that leads me to share the non-conference games. When you have two teams playing non-conference games, the outcome is usually not what you expect. Thats when I like to jump on live dogs.

Totals
College B-Ball 5-4-1 +30
NBA 7-6 +20
Hockey 5-6 -80
Total -30

Todays games
College-
Niagra -3.5 $55 to win $50
Yale over 126 For 2 Units $110 to win $100
Idaho/Utah St Under 128.5 $55 to win $50


Hockey
Mont/Caps Over 5- $55 to win $50

It looks like Rask will be the goalie- I am going to jump all over Buff to win $50 to win $60

Once Vegas gets this info, the line will change. Even if my contact is wrong, I still like Miller at home.

Day 8

Had a good day, and can't complain about that. Today will be tough for the NBA, because the All star break is right around the bend and you are not sure who will play hard. There is one game I like, the Heat over the Knicks. Both teams have been playing well, but the Heat got something to prove, and when that happens at home, it usually happens.

Totals
College B-ball- 4-2-1 $90
NBA 6-6 $-30
Hockey 4-5 $-75
Total -15

Today's games

College-
Louiville +1.5 $55 to win $50
Montana -19.5 $55 to win $50
Gonzaga Under 146 $55 to win $50

NBA
Heat -9 $55 to win $50


Hockey-
Sharks/ Toronto Under 5.5 $55 to win $50
Philly/Edm Over 5.5 $55 to win $50

Good Luck

Day 7

I completly missed the LA king game. I was just looking at how low scoring both team were, not thinknig about a common error made. The last time these teams played the score was 1-0. These teams were ready to play and even though I probably wouldnt take the over, I would have stayed away.

Here is where we stand, we are going backwards a little bit here, so lets hope that this stops.
College B-Ball 4-2-1 $90
NBA 5-5 ($25)
Hockey 3-5 ($125)
Total -($60)

Lots of college games, but nothign jumping out at me. I may add one later, but for now, I rather keep it small.

NBA- Orlando -5.5 $55 to win $50
Denver/Clippers Over 205.5 $55 to win 50

NHL- Ottowa $60 to win $50

Good Luck

Day 6

I was away for the weekend, so didnt get a chance to post my picks. Of course the day I missed I went perfect, but that is the way it goes. Since I cannot prove to anyone, I will pretend I missed the day and continue. I had a rough day on Friday, one of my worst in a long time. These things can and will happen. What I have seen through not only myself, but through others is that they will hit great winning streaks and then start losing. A good handicapper will be able to bounce back from those losses. Part of handicapping games is to see where Vegas is wrong. When they are wrong, they change it up quick, so a handicapper has to be able to change as well. Thats why I think the longer you handicap, the better you will be. You will be able to know what has worked in the past and be able to jump from that to another. I am not saying my one bad day is that, but I noticed that my NBA picks have lost some luster. So now I am being a little more patient, and I believe I have found where Vegas seems to be off. I am always looking at this, because it wont be long before Vegas figures it out. I am sure I am not the only one. Too bad no games today meet that criteria. So I am not giving up, remember the most important part of sports betting or any gambling is money management. Never bet too much at one time and you can survive the bad streaks. Lets hope this isn't one.

College B-Ball 4 Wins 2 Loss Total of $90
NBA 5 Wins 5Loss Total of ($25)
Hockey 2 Wins 3 Loss Total of ($65)

Total Even


Todays games

College B-Ball- Virginia -2

Hockey
Pitt/Rangers Over 5
Flyers/Jets Over 5.5
Kings/Phx Under 5

All games $55 each to win $50.

Day 5

Hawks/Bulls Under 181
Griz/Houst Under 187
Magic/Bulls Over 186
Magic -2.5

Day 4

I didn't have anything yesterday, but today I have a lot. When I like a lot of games, I like to risk a little with a round robin. I do not recomend those, because you do risk a lot, but if I could win 6 out of 8, I can make a lot of money, and I oftern do win 6 out of 8. I have even gone 8 for 8, which of course is great. So here is the 8 I like today

College B-Ball-
Yale -5
Columbia Princeton U122

NBA- Golden State/OKC Over 180.5
Lakers/Suns U185.5

Hockey
Edmonton to win
Edm/Col O5.5
Florida Panthers to win
Devils/Ducks U5.5

I do like Nashville to finally beat Detroit at home for anyone who likes to take live dogs. The line is at +135, which sounds like I am not the only one.
I am not adding this game to my list. Even though I like a dog, for me, at this point, I still play it safe.

All bets are still going to be to win $50. If we have a good day, I will start to increase the bets. I was going to do it now, but with 8 games out there, and since we are still early, I am going to play it safe.

No picks for today

I just wrote a long article and it is gone. Very disapointing. I do not have any picks for today. I am going to do more research to see if I like anything, but I am not one to just bet on something just to bet. I have been there and lost because of it.

Here are the toals

College B-Ball
3 Wins 1 Loss Total of $95

NBA
3Wins 1 Loss Total of $95

Hockey
1 Win Total of $50

Day 3

I am pretty busy today, and there were a lot of games to take a look at. There were a lot that I liked, but didn't love, and I just havent had the chance to research it further to convince me to use those games. So I am only to go with one game. I am trying to be the best at this, and I when I try to extend myself, it costs me. So I am going to play it safe here.

Here are the numbers so far.

College B-Ball- 1 Unit
NBA- 2 Units
Hockey- 1 Unit

Total 4 Units

College up $45
NBA- up $95
Hockey- Up $50
Total- $190.00

Todays game

College- Tenn -7

Picks for 2/14/2012

We had a good day 1. The one loss coming on Philly. I hate giving so many points when a team is on the road. I think teams might have figured how to beat the 76ers, so I am going to watch them closely going forward.

Here are the totals so far
College basketball- Up one unit
NBA Basketball- Up One Unit

Total- Up 2 Units

So lets start with $1000 and see where we can be at the end of the year. We will keep bets at 5% to help me with the math for 1 unit play. 10% if I ever feel it should be a larger bet.


College Basketball- Up $50
NBA- Up $45
Total- Up $95
Total of $1095


Day 2
College
Virginia + 1.5 for $55 to win $50
Texas Tech/ Texas AM Under 117.5 $55 to win $50

NBA
Oklahoma City -12.5. $55 to win 50


Hockey
Nashville ML $60 to win $50


Good luck to all

Pete's Picks Day 1

I've been doing well with my picks, and had my best football season all year. I have been putting a lot more work into my picks, and I want something to start keeping track of what I do.

So this will be a new fresh start for me. I hope to get a lot of people on my blog to start sharing ideas. Hopefully I can make some people some money. So if you happen to visit, say Hi. Let me know that you are here.

As I get started, most of my picks will be 1 unit. The most important piece of sportsbetting is betting the correct amount. You never want to bet too much on one game. I think I've made that error at least 6 times. I believe that you want to keep your bet size around 2% to 5% of your bankroll. So if my bankroll is $1000, I try not to bet over $50. Sure it is small ball, but if you do well, it adds up. Sportsbetting is also like a marathon. Long and steady will win the race.

This summer, I started with $500. I turned that $500 to almost 9 grand. I took some profit out, and now I am around 5 grand. My goal is to get it over 100 grand. I told myself if I can do that, I will quit my job. Now I know its going to take some time, but if I am smart with my money and I can win 6 out of 10, I should be able to do it. I did win a couple of parlays to help me get there so quickly, but I was working on ways to hedge on certain bets.

That is my goal, and this blog will show how I am doing. I welcome any questions that anyone has.

So here are my picks for Day 1

College Basketball

Kansas/Kansas St- Under 135

NBA

Heat/Bucks Over 200.5

76ers -11.5

Phx/GS Under 203