Sunday, January 6, 2013

Jan 6 2013

Another good day. I should have paid attention to the news before I made my pick on the GB game. I thought Ponder would play, but there was not much of an offense without him, so we missed the over. These things happen, but hopefully I will learn from this. A perfect day in the NBA and we were positive in College. I hopefully didnt confuse anyone yesterday. There were lots of games with no totals, so I didnt get to play some games. In the future I will only post the games I play.

College Bowl 7-3, a nice 70%. Year after year I do well with Bowl games. I am not touching todays Bowl game, and the last game will be the under Alabama game.

NFl Playoffs- 0-1
I like Balt -7 here. I believe that Ray Lewis will inspire Balt to play well. Indy isnt as good  on the road as they are at home, and its a big game for luck. Plus Indy is horrible against the run, so look for rice to have a good game.

College Basketball- Went 6-4 for a running total of 21-12-1around 64%.

Todays Games
Wisconsin/Nebraska Under 117
Florida/Yale Under 128
Oregon/Oregon St Over 147
St Peters/Loyola MD Under 116

NBA
Perfect 3-0 to bring us to 6-2 a 75% return.

Todays game
Denver +3

Good luck



Saturday, January 5, 2013

Jan 5 2013

Great card yesterday, almost had a perfect day. Was perfect in college games, and I am sure by now you have noticed that I am a totals guy. I got up super early this morning to look at all the college games today, and there are a lot. With all those games, Vegas cant focus on everyone, so I hope to take advantage of that, especially with totals. Of course there are not too many totals out, so I will be back later when they post. I have multiple sportsbooks that I use, as I always recomend that everyone do that. You can always shop for the best line and lowest juice.

College Bowl
We are 6-3 now 66%.
Pitt Over 52
Alabama/ND Under 41

College Basketball
Perfect 4-0 yesterday. 15-7-1 68%

NBA
1-1 yesterday.
3-2 for the year.


Todays games
College Basketball- There are a lot of lines missing, so I will put the line which I think vegas will have if there is no line. If the number is around that, then take that bet. I will update later today.

Wake Forest/Duke OVer 144- True line
Texas/Baylor over 131.5- True line
Massachusetts -14.5
Stanford/UCLA Over 149 - I expect the line to be here- No line on this one
Rice/Harvard Under125-Line is 124
LA Lafayette/Florida International over 149
Louisiana Tech -1
CS Fullerton/CS Northridge- I Love the over here, Line is 172
southern utah/N Arizona- over 135.5
S Dakota/S Dakota St- Over 149- No line
Furman/College of Charleston- Under 125- No line
W Carolina -7.5
A Peavy/Tenn Martin OVer 147- Line is 145
E Washington/Montana Over 153- No line

I know there are a lot of games, but since there are no lines for most, I might not touch some of these games. I will come back and update this with the lines if and when they are out. This is one issue with totals that I hate.

NBA
Knicks/Magic OVer 194.5
Bucks/Pacers Under 185.5
Denver -9.5

NFL
I like a tease on todays game. You can tease 6 points for even money or 7 points for -120
GreenBay -1 and over 38.5

Good Luck




Friday, January 4, 2013

1/4/2013

Had a great day with College, but I am not sure if anybody noticed. I'll have to start to advertise myself again. I would like to think that I am helping others.

College Football- Lost on Kansas St. I love Oregon, so it was difficult for me to go against them. Maybe that was my lesson learned. I really thought that this would be closer. In hindsight, I should have played the Under. I guess I thought Kansas St would score more. They just can't keep up with an offense like Oregon.

Still up for Bowl games- 5-3

Texas AM/Oklahoma- Under 72  The public is all over the over as usual, so this might even creep up.
Pitt Over 52- Jump on this ASAP
Alabama/Notre Dame Under 41

College Basketball
Went 7-4 yesterday. I wish I had more time to research, there were so many games.
Total for College is 11-7-1

Todays Games
Brown/Rhode Island Under 124
Manhattan/St Peter U 117
Tulane/Wofford U 115
Fordham/Miss Over 146


NBA
Went 0-1. Still 2-1 since I restarted this

Todays Games
Cleveland +1.5
Lakers/Clippers Under 205.5

Good luck to anyone who reads this.

Thursday, January 3, 2013

Jan 3 2013

Totals

College Bowl 5-2
Kansas St +8.5

College Basketball
Went 2-1-1 Yesterday
Total
4-3-1

NBA
2-0 Yesterday

Todays Games

College Basketball
Eastern Ill/Eastern Kentucky Under 124.5
Siu Edwardsville/Moorehead St Over 126
Marist/Niagra Over 147
Michigan/Northwestern Under 129
Nebraska/Oakland Over 158
GreenBay/Wright St Under 118
Penn St/Wisconsin Under 125.5
Sacramento State +2
Chicago St/UNLV Over 139
Cal St Northridge -14
California/UCLA Over 152

NBA
Denver -8

College Bowl
Kansas St +8.5

Lots of college games today, good luck everyone

Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Jan 2nd 2013

Welcome 2013. We are starting fresh, just keeping track of stats. I hope that next year I can find myself in Vegas living off of my hard work.

Totals
College Bowls
5-2       We have Kansas St today

College Basketball
2-2

Todays games

NBA
Washington +10
Houston -10

College Basketball
Indiana St/N Iowa Under 123.5
Wyoming -3
William & Mary/Vandy Under 125.5
UTEP/Ariz St Under 126.5

Good Luck

Monday, December 31, 2012

A little about me

I wasn't planning to post for a bit, but I got a message asking if I was till around. I am still around. I just was away for almost a month, so I didn't want to just drop off for a bit, but I am here, and I will be be sharing some picks. I am going to post some Bowl picks and playoff football. I have a great record with both, so thats a great way to start.

So about me. I work a full time job and I have a family, but my dream is to handicap sports for a living.
I love stats, and keep stats on every sport. I look for trends, and use that info along with my knowledge on the team. An examle of this was this past weekend in the NFL. A great trend is at the end of the year, when you get a warm climate team like the Fins going to a cold place like New England and the game still matters for NE but not Miami, take NE. Motivation plays a huge role when picking games. Motivation is huge on college bowls.

I actually had a bad year in football this year. I know these things happen, and that is why money management is so important. I think the problem was that I do not trust myself, and I started to piggyback on someone elses picks and got burnt. So look forward to posting more picks on here and sharing years of info that I have gained.

I look forward to any responses. I like to know that people read what I write.

Here are the games that I like

College Basketball- As you can tell I am a totals guy. I look at tempo of a team to help me determine.
Denver/Texas-Arlington Over 116.5
Saint Joes/Drexel Under 129
NC Greensboror/NC St- Over 165
Oregon -10.5 vs Nevada

NBA- No games today

Bowls-
Vandy/NC State Over 52
Georgia Tech/USC Under 63
LSU -5
North Ill +13.5

Tue- I will not be here on Tue for any Basketball
SC -4.5
Georgia -8.5 and Over 60

Wed- Kansas St +8.5



Thursday, October 11, 2012

Football is back

I am a stat guy, and I need games for me to start being able to handicap games. We are finally at 6 weeks of data, so I am going to start crunching numbers. If anyone happens to stumble accross this blog, let me know. I don't expect anyone would read, and this is just to document myself.